Scoring
#1 Start

Washington

WR · MIA vs MIN

Sun 4:05 PM

Proj pts

11.4pts

market

Mod Conf
Bench

Lemon

WR · PHI vs LA

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

8.4pts

market

Mod Conf

Makai Lemon or Malik Washington: who should I start in Week 4?

Start Malik Washington. Bench Makai Lemon. Malik Washington leads at 11.4. Makai Lemon is the first one out, 3.0 short.

Crowd: 37% of managers started Washington.

Highlights

Malik WashingtonStart
WR · MIA vs MIN

Pros

  • Clear start3.0 pts clear

Cons

  • Low target share14% target share
  • Thin volume3.8 targets/g
Makai LemonBench
WR · PHI vs LA

Pros

  • Big-play upside33% boom weeks

Cons

  • Below your start line3.0 pts short
  • Low target share12% target share

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

WashingtonStart
LemonBench
Projection11.48.4
Floor5.6—
Ceiling15.1—
Target share14%12%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)FB
Implied team total14.020.3

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Washington 8.7, Lemon 3.4.

Latest game on the card: Washington 11.1 (PPR points).

Why Malik Washington

Start Malik Washington — projects 11.4, a tough matchup vs MIN, with a rising role.

Malik Washington projects 11.4 points on a 5.6–15.1 range. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: start Malik Washington this week.

Working for Washington: Clear start (3.0 pts clear).

Working against Washington: Low target share (14% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).

Where Washington leads the head-to-head: Projection (11.4 vs 8.4); Target share (14% vs 12%); Last 3 avg (8.7 vs 3.4); Last 5 avg (7.9 vs 3.4); vs season (+0.9 vs +0.0); Consistency (50% vs 49%); Targets / game (3.8 vs 3.0); Red zone targets (11 vs 0).

Why Makai Lemon

Sit Makai Lemon — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs LA.

Makai Lemon projects 8.4 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: bench Makai Lemon this week.

Working for Lemon: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).

Working against Lemon: Below your start line (3.0 pts short), Low target share (12% target share).

Where Lemon leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs F); Implied team total (20.3 vs 14.0); Boom rate (33% vs 24%); Bust rate (0% vs 12%); Snap share (66% vs 57%).

Recent form

Malik Washington's last 5 games: PPR points 1.5, 11.8, 6.3, 8.7, 11.1 (oldest to newest).

Makai Lemon's last 3 games: PPR points 1.9, 2.5, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Washington has already beaten Lemon's 8.4 projection in 3 of his 5; Lemon has beaten Washington's 11.4 in 0 of his 3.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Malik Washington (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.

Makai Lemon (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.3, spread +3.0.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.