Mallory
TE · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.0ptsUsage estimate
Hibner
TE · BAL @ BUF
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.4ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Matthew Hibner or Will Mallory: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Will Mallory gets the nod over Matthew Hibner.
- Ahead by
- +0.6pts
- over Hibner
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Hibner
The case for Hibner is an offense expected to score more (25.8 points to 18.3) and a defense that gives up more deep shots (0.7 a game to 0.0).
Flips if
Start Matthew Hibner instead if you want an offense expected to score more (25.8 points to 18.3).
Risk
Will Mallory has played 2 games since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. Matthew Hibner has played 1 game since missing time.
Highlights
MalloryToss-upTE · IND @ JAXUsually 1.5+2.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- +0.5ptsrecent workHis work has picked up in his last few games.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
HibnerFirst outTE · BAL @ BUFUsually 3.0+0.4pts this week
Helps him
- 1sthighest totalEdgeHe plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.
Hurts him
- 4%targetsHe draws only 4% of his team’s targets.
- 0.8per gameHe sees only 0.8 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMallory: 4.0 (best)Hibner: 3.4
Projected team pointsMallory: 18.3Hibner: 25.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameMallory: 0.5 (best)Hibner: 0.2
Role
Snap shareMallory: 43% (best)Hibner: 42%
Usage worthptsMallory: 8.0 (best)Hibner: 1.5
Target shareMallory: 15% (best)Hibner: 4%
Targets / gameMallory: 4.5 (best)Hibner: 0.8
Air yards shareMallory: 21% (best)Hibner: 2%
Vacated targets this weekMallory: 3.5 (best)Hibner: 0.7
RZ target shareMallory: 25% (best)Hibner: 4%
Inside 10 target shareMallory: 0%Hibner: 9% (best)
Catch rateMallory: 22%Hibner: 100% (best)
SeparationMallory: 3.0 ydsHibner: Not tracked
YAC over expectedMallory: +0.4Hibner: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredMallory: Earned by usage 8.0Scored 2.0Hibner: Earned by usage 1.5Scored 3.0
WOPRMallory: 0.33 (best)Hibner: 0.07
Range
FloorMallory: 1.3 (best)Hibner: 1.0
CeilingMallory: 7.6 (best)Hibner: 6.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMallory: 0%Hibner: 33%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Mallory: 0%Hibner: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterMallory: 100%Hibner: 67% (best)
SteadinessMallory: Volatile (best)±1.9 pts · 4 gamesHibner: Volatile±4.2 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmMallory: C (best)Hibner: D+
Game scriptMallory: Expected to trailHibner: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMallory: 1.5Hibner: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelMallory: NeutralHibner: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMallory: 30th (soft)Hibner: 31st (soft) (best)
Starting QBMallory: Jones (Active)Hibner: Huntley (Active)
Opp defender outMallory: Johnson (SAF)Hibner: None listed
Roof / surfaceMallory: OpengrassHibner: Openturf
Rest / scheduleMallory: NormalHibner: Normal
Opp paceMallory: 23rd (slow) (best)Hibner: 24th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMallory: 0.01st (tough)Hibner: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedMallory: 68%6th (tough)Hibner: 68%8th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgMallory: 2 gamesHibner: 1.8
Last 5 avgMallory: 2 gamesHibner: 3.1
vs seasonMallory: 0.0 (best)Hibner: −1.2 (Cooling)
Yards per route runMallory: 0.47Hibner: 1.79 (best)
Receiving aDOTMallory: 10.9Hibner: 5.0
Target share trendMallory: 2 gamesHibner: Steady
Games since injuryMallory: 2Hibner: 1
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMallory: TE37 (best)Hibner: TE41
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.