Durham
TE · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.3ptsUsage estimate
Vannett
TE · BAL @ BUF
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.3ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Nick Vannett or Payne Durham: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Payne Durham gets the nod over Nick Vannett.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Vannett
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Vannett
The case for Vannett is an offense expected to score more (25.8 points to 23.0) and a defense that gives up more deep shots (0.7 a game to 0.1).
Flips if
If the weather in Payne Durham's game turns worse, start Nick Vannett.
Risk
Weather in Payne Durham's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
DurhamToss-upTE · TB vs ATLUsually 0.2+1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.3per gameHe sees only 0.3 targets a game.
VannettFirst outTE · BAL @ BUFUsually 0.0+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- 0%targetsHe draws only 0% of his team’s targets.
- 0.0per gameHe sees only 0.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDurham: 1.3Vannett: 1.3
Projected team pointsDurham: 23.0Vannett: 25.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameDurham: 0.0Vannett: 0.0
Role
Snap shareDurham: 28%Vannett: 8%
Usage worthptsDurham: 0.4Vannett: 0 targets
Target shareDurham: 1%Vannett: 0%
Targets / gameDurham: 0.3Vannett: 0.0
Air yards shareDurham: 0.4%Vannett: 0 targets
Vacated targets this weekDurham: 9.2 (best)Vannett: 0.7
RZ target shareDurham: 0%Vannett: 0 targets
Inside 10 target shareDurham: 0%Vannett: 0 targets
Usage worth vs scoredDurham: Earned by usage 0.4Scored 0.2Vannett: 0 targets
WOPRDurham: 0.02Vannett: 0
Range
FloorDurham: 0.7Vannett: 0.6
CeilingDurham: 2.2Vannett: 2.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDurham: 0%Vannett: 0 pts
Big weeks (15+ pts)Durham: 0%Vannett: 1 game
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterDurham: 100%Vannett: 1 game
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDurham: C+ (best)2026, 7 gmVannett: D+2026, 6 gm
Game scriptDurham: Expected to lead (best)Vannett: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDurham: 1.3Vannett: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelDurham: NeutralVannett: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDurham: 29th (soft)Vannett: 31st (soft) (best)
Starting QBDurham: Mayfield (Active)Vannett: Huntley (Active)
WeatherDurham: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainVannett: No concern
Roof / surfaceDurham: OpengrassVannett: Openturf
Rest / scheduleDurham: NormalVannett: Normal
Opp paceDurham: 21st (average) (best)Vannett: 24th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDurham: 0.14th (tough)Vannett: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedDurham: 77% (best)28th (soft)Vannett: 68%8th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgDurham: 0.5 (best)Vannett: 0.0
Last 5 avgDurham: 0.3 (best)Vannett: 0.0
vs seasonDurham: +0.3 (Rising)Vannett: 0.0
Yards per route runDurham: 0.36Vannett: 0
Target share trendDurham: SteadyVannett: No usage yet
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDurham: TE65 (best)Vannett: TE67
Deciding on someone else?
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