Toss-upGray
TE · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points3.6pts
First outMallory
TE · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.0ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Noah Gray or Will Mallory: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Noah Gray. Swinging for a big week? Will Mallory.
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Mallory's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Mallory
Gray has the safer floor (1.9 to 1.3); Mallory has more upside (a ceiling of 7.6 to 6.0).
Flips if
Start Will Mallory instead if you go by the projection: he projects 0.4 more.
Risk
Will Mallory has played 2 games since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Injuries as of Sat 4:00 AM ET
GrayToss-upTE · KC @ DENUsually 4.6−1.1pts this weekHelps him
+0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.12 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
Hurts him
−1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 13.5 receiving yards, below his usual 26.3.
−0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.0.
8%targetsHe draws only 8% of his team’s targets.
2.3per gameHe sees only 2.3 targets a game.
MalloryFirst outTE · IND @ JAXUsually 1.5+2.4pts this weekHelps him
+1.4ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
+1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
+0.5ptsrecent workHis work has picked up in his last few games.
Hurts him
−0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.
Sit or start?