Miller
WR · NE vs CHI
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final pointsPending
projected 1.9
Virgil
WR · ARI vs DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points1.8pts
Ryan Miller or Reggie Virgil: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
MillerWR · NE vs CHIUsually 3.6−1.7pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- −0.1ptsinjuryHis injury tag takes 0.1 points off his projection.
- −1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- −0.9ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
VirgilWR · ARI vs DENProjected1.8pts
Helps him
- OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
Hurts him
- 6%targetsHe draws only 6% of his team’s targets.
- 2.5per gameHe sees only 2.5 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMiller: 1.9 (best)Virgil: 1.8
TD pointsof the projectionMiller: Our estimateVirgil: 0.3
Expected TDsthis weekMiller: Our estimateVirgil: 0.05
Projected team pointsMiller: 23.8 (best)Virgil: 19.5
Red zone targetsper gameMiller: 0.0Virgil: 0.5 (best)
Role
Snap shareMiller: 14% (best)Virgil: 11%
Usage worthptsMiller: 1.3Virgil: 4.5 (best)
Target shareMiller: 3%Virgil: 6% (best)
Targets / gameMiller: 0.8Virgil: 2.5 (best)
Air yards shareMiller: 3%Virgil: 10% (best)
WOPRMiller: 0.07Virgil: 0.13 (best)
RZ target shareMiller: 0%Virgil: 6% (best)
Catch rateMiller: 4 targetsVirgil: 40%
SeparationMiller: Not trackedVirgil: 1.0 yds
YAC over expectedMiller: Not trackedVirgil: +2.2
Usage worth vs scoredMiller: Earned by usage 1.3Scored 3.6Virgil: Earned by usage 4.5Scored 2.5
Vacated targets this weekMiller: 9.0 (best)Virgil: 0.5
Inside 10 target shareMiller: 0%Virgil: 11% (best)
Range
FloorMiller: 0.6Virgil: 1.0 (best)
CeilingMiller: 3.5 (best)Virgil: 3.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMiller: 33%Virgil: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Miller: 0%Virgil: 2 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterMiller: 80%Virgil: 2 games
SteadinessMiller: Volatile±6.4 pts · 5 gamesVirgil: 2 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmMiller: B- (best)Virgil: D-
Game scriptMiller: Expected to trail (best)Virgil: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMiller: 1.5 (best)Virgil: 1.7
Defense funnelMiller: NeutralVirgil: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMiller: 15th (average)Virgil: 16th (average) (best)
Starting QBMiller: Maye (Active)Virgil: Brissett (Active)
Opp defender outMiller: Edwards (LB)Virgil: Elliss (LB)
Roof / surfaceMiller: OpenVirgil: Retractable roofgrass
Rest / scheduleMiller: Short week (4d)Virgil: Normal
Opp paceMiller: 1st (fast) (best)Virgil: 29th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMiller: 3.5 (best)24th (soft)Virgil: 3.321st (average)
Opp catch rate allowedMiller: 60% (best)13th (average)Virgil: 57%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgMiller: 1.2Virgil: 2 games
Last 5 avgMiller: 3.6Virgil: 2 games
vs seasonMiller: −2.5 (Cooling)Virgil: 0.0 (best)
Yards per route runMiller: 5.41 (best)Virgil: 2.23
Receiving aDOTMiller: 4 targetsVirgil: 12.6
Target share trendMiller: SteadyVirgil: 2 games
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMiller: WR112 (best)Virgil: WR115
Yards linereceivingMiller: Our estimateVirgil: 10.0
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.