Stevenson
RB · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points14.5pts
Barkley
RB · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points6.0ptsUsage estimate
13.2 if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
Rhamondre Stevenson or Saquon Barkley: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Rhamondre Stevenson over Saquon Barkley.
- Ahead by
- +8.5pts
- over Barkley
- Confidence
- High
- Saquon Barkley may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 86%
- of leagues
Barkley's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If the weather in Rhamondre Stevenson's game turns worse, start Saquon Barkley.
Risk
Weather in Rhamondre Stevenson's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Saquon Barkley missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Saquon Barkley has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
StevensonStartRB · NE @ MIAUsually 12.4+2.1pts this week
Helps him
- +2.3ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.82 touchdowns, above his usual 0.43.
- +1.1ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 rushing yards, above his usual 40.7.
- MIAvs RBsEdgeMIA is the 3rd softest defense for running backs.
- 22.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 22.3 points.
Hurts him
- −1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 19.5 receiving yards, below his usual 29.1.
- 43%dud weeks43% of his games have been dud weeks.
BarkleyFirst outRB · PHI @ WASUsually 12.5−6.5pts this week
Helps him
- +5.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- +5.0ptsroleWith Pierce out, his expected role grows this week.
Hurts him
- −9.5ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.5 points off his projection.
- −3.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- −3.2ptsrecent workHis work has dropped off in his last few games.
- −0.7ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionStevenson: 14.5 (best)Barkley: 6.0
TD pointsof the projectionStevenson: 4.9Barkley: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekStevenson: 0.82Barkley: Our estimate
Projected team pointsStevenson: 25.0 (best)Barkley: 17.0
Goal line carriesper gameStevenson: 0.4Barkley: 0.4
Red zone carriesper gameStevenson: 1.3Barkley: 1.6 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameStevenson: 0.3 (best)Barkley: 0.0
Role
Snap shareStevenson: 63% (best)Barkley: 36%
Usage worthptsStevenson: 11.4 (best)Barkley: 7.6
Touch shareStevenson: 28% (best)Barkley: 22%
Target shareStevenson: 11% (best)Barkley: 7%
Touches / gameStevenson: 13.9 (best)Barkley: 9.8
Targets / gameStevenson: 3.4 (best)Barkley: 1.8
Air yards shareStevenson: 1%Barkley: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekStevenson: 2.0Barkley: 29.6 (best)
High value touches / gameStevenson: 3.7 (best)Barkley: 2.0
Goal line carry shareStevenson: 50% (best)Barkley: 29%
Red zone touches / gameStevenson: 1.4Barkley: 1.6 (best)
Rush success rateStevenson: 36%Barkley: 42% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Stevenson: 2.6%Barkley: 4.7% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredStevenson: Earned by usage 11.4Scored 12.4Barkley: Earned by usage 7.6Scored 7.6
Rush yards / gameStevenson: 40.7Barkley: 48.8 (best)
Points from rushingStevenson: 47%Barkley: 80%
WOPRStevenson: 0.18 (best)Barkley: 0.09
RZ target shareStevenson: 3% (best)Barkley: 0%
Inside 10 target shareStevenson: 0%Barkley: 0%
Catch rateStevenson: 83% (best)Barkley: 67%
Rushing points / gameStevenson: 5.8 pts / gameBarkley: 6.1 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorStevenson: 4.9 pts / game (best)Barkley: 3.3 pts / game
Range
FloorStevenson: 8.0 (best)Barkley: 0.0
CeilingStevenson: 22.3 (best)Barkley: 8.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerStevenson: 21%Barkley: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Stevenson: 14% (best)Barkley: 10%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterStevenson: 43%Barkley: 14% (best)
SteadinessStevenson: Steady±7.7 pts · 7 gamesBarkley: Steady (best)±6.7 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmStevenson: A (best)Barkley: C
Game scriptStevenson: Expected to lead (best)Barkley: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterStevenson: 0.8 (best)Barkley: 1.3
Defense funnelStevenson: NeutralBarkley: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedStevenson: 16th (average) (best)Barkley: 14th (average)
Backfield roleStevenson: LeadBarkley: Lead
Opp defender outStevenson: None listedBarkley: Kinlaw (DT)
WeatherStevenson: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainBarkley: No concern
Roof / surfacegrassStevenson: OpenBarkley: Open
Rest / scheduleStevenson: 10 days restBarkley: Normal
Opp paceStevenson: 31st (slow)Barkley: 12th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateStevenson: 18%15th (average)Barkley: 18%17th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedStevenson: 4.3 (best)21st (average)Barkley: 3.88th (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedStevenson: 18th (average)Barkley: 28th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameStevenson: 0.01st (tough)Barkley: 0.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedStevenson: 84% (best)26th (soft)Barkley: 73%10th (tough)
Starting QBStevenson: Maye (Active)Barkley: McKee (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgStevenson: 14.5 (best)Barkley: 8.7
Last 5 avgStevenson: 13.8 (best)Barkley: 7.6
vs seasonStevenson: +2.1 (Rising) (best)Barkley: +1.1 (Rising)
Yards per carryStevenson: 3.7Barkley: 5.7 (best)
Carries / gameStevenson: 11.0 (best)Barkley: 8.6
Yards per route runStevenson: 1.73 (best)Barkley: 0.65
Receiving aDOTStevenson: 0.8Barkley: −0.6
Touch share trendStevenson: SteadyBarkley: Left 2 games hurt
Games since injuryStevenson: None recentlyBarkley: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesStevenson: 86% (best)Barkley: 65%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterStevenson: RB16 (best)Barkley: RB38
Yards linerushingStevenson: 51.5Barkley: Our estimate
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