Jones
RB · SEA vs KC
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points1.9pts
Miller
WR · NE vs CHI
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final pointsPending
projected 1.9
Velus Jones Jr. or Ryan Miller: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
JonesRB · SEA vs KCUsually 0.6+1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.3pts2 linesTouchdowns 0.11 (usual 0.00) and rushing yards 9.5 (usual 4.0) both sit above his usual.
- −3.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 3rd toughest defense for running backs.
MillerWR · NE vs CHIUsually 3.6−1.7pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- −0.1ptsinjuryHis injury tag takes 0.1 points off his projection.
- −1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- −0.9ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Different positions: each stat is compared across the players you picked, except Nuvela position rank, which ranks each player within his own position.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJones: 1.9Miller: 1.9
TD pointsof the projectionJones: 0.7Miller: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekJones: 0.11Miller: Our estimate
Projected team pointsJones: 22.8Miller: 23.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameJones: 0.0Miller: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameJones: 0.0Miller: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameJones: 0.0Miller: 0.0
Role
Snap shareJones: 3%Miller: 14%
Usage worthptsJones: 0.7Miller: 1.3
Touch shareJones: 2%Miller: 1%
Target shareJones: 0.4%Miller: 3%
Touches / gameJones: 1.0Miller: 0.6
Targets / gameJones: 0.2Miller: 0.8
Air yards shareJones: Behind the lineMiller: 3%
Vacated touches this weekJones: 11.7Miller: —
High value touches / gameJones: 0.2Miller: 0.6
Goal line carry shareJones: 0%Miller: 0%
Red zone touches / gameJones: 0.0Miller: 0.0
Rush success rateJones: 50%Miller: 0 carries
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Jones: 0%Miller: 0 carries
Usage worth vs scoredJones: Earned by usage 0.7Scored 0.6Miller: Earned by usage 1.3Scored 3.6
Rush yards / gameJones: 4.0Miller: 0.0
Points from rushingJones: 69%Miller: 0%
WOPRJones: 0.004Miller: 0.07
RZ target shareJones: 0%Miller: 0%
Inside 10 target shareJones: 0%Miller: 0%
Rushing points / gameJones: 0.4 pts / gameMiller: 0.0 pts / game
Rushing floorJones: 0.4 pts / gameMiller: 0.0 pts / game
Vacated targets this weekJones: —Miller: 9.0
Range
FloorJones: 1.2 (best)Miller: 0.6
CeilingJones: 3.0Miller: 3.5 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJones: 0%Miller: 33%
SteadinessJones: Avg 0 or belowMiller: Volatile±6.4 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionJones: D+2026, 5 gmMiller: B- (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptJones: Expected to lead (best)Miller: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJones: 1.8Miller: 1.5 (best)
Defense funnelJones: NeutralMiller: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJones: 6th (tough)Miller: 8th (tough)
Backfield roleJones: BackupMiller: —
Opp defender outJones: None listedMiller: Edwards (LB)
Roof / surfaceJones: OpenturfMiller: Open
Rest / scheduleJones: 10 days restMiller: Short week (4d)
Opp paceJones: 19th (average)Miller: 1st (fast)
Opp stuff rateJones: 22%5th (tough)Miller: 18%18th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedJones: 3.32nd (tough)Miller: 4.424th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedJones: 9th (tough)Miller: 15th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJones: 0.01st (tough)Miller: 3.524th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedJones: 81%22nd (soft)Miller: 60%13th (average)
Starting QBJones: Darnold (Active)Miller: Maye (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJones: 1.0Miller: 1.2 (best)
Last 5 avgJones: 0.6Miller: 3.6 (best)
vs seasonJones: +0.4 (Rising) (best)Miller: −2.5 (Cooling)
Carries / gameJones: 0.8Miller: 0.0
Yards per route runJones: −0.17Miller: 5.41
Usage trendJones: SteadyMiller: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position rankat his positionJones: RB69Miller: WR113
Yards lineJones: 9.5rushingMiller: Our estimate
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