Thomas
WR · CHI vs NE
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points0.0pts
projected 2.3
Shepard
WR · NYJ vs MIA
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.2ptsUsage estimate
Zavion Thomas or Sterling Shepard: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
ThomasWR · CHI vs NEUsually 1.6+0.7pts this week
Helps him
- +2.5ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- 26.8team totalEdgeHis team was expected to score 26.8 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- −0.1ptsinjuryHis injury tag takes 0.1 points off his projection.
- −1.5ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
- 0.8per gameHe sees only 0.8 targets a game.
ShepardWR · NYJ vs MIAProjected2.2pts
Helps him
- 3.7ceilingHis best weeks reach about 3.7 points.
Hurts him
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 1.0per gameHe sees only 1.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionThomas: 2.3 (best)Shepard: 2.2
Projected team pointsThomas: 26.8 (best)Shepard: 22.0
Red zone targetsper gameThomas: 0.0Shepard: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareThomas: 10%Shepard: 49% (best)
Usage worthptsThomas: 1.2Shepard: 2.0 (best)
Target shareThomas: 3%Shepard: 5% (best)
Targets / gameThomas: 0.8Shepard: 1.0 (best)
Air yards shareThomas: 0.5%Shepard: 1% (best)
WOPRThomas: 0.04Shepard: 0.09 (best)
RZ target shareThomas: 0%Shepard: 33% (best)
Catch rateThomas: 100%Shepard: 2 targets
Usage worth vs scoredScored 1.6Thomas: Earned by usage 1.2Shepard: Earned by usage 2.0
Vacated targets this weekThomas: 1.8 (best)Shepard: 0.5
Inside 10 target shareThomas: 0%Shepard: 50% (best)
Range
FloorThomas: 0.7Shepard: 1.2 (best)
CeilingThomas: 4.4 (best)Shepard: 3.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerThomas: 0%Shepard: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Thomas: 0%Shepard: 2 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterThomas: 100%Shepard: 2 games
SteadinessThomas: Volatile±2.3 pts · 6 gamesShepard: 2 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionThomas: C+ (best)2026, 6 gmShepard: D-2026, 5 gm
Game scriptThomas: Expected to leadShepard: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterThomas: 1.2Shepard: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelThomas: NeutralShepard: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedThomas: 14th (average) (best)Shepard: 12th (average)
Starting QBThomas: Williams (Active)Shepard: Smith (Active)
Roof / surfaceThomas: OpenShepard: Openturf
Rest / scheduleThomas: Short week (4d)Shepard: Normal
Opp paceThomas: 9th (fast) (best)Shepard: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameThomas: 2.2 (best)4th (tough)Shepard: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedThomas: 66%25th (soft)Shepard: 73% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgThomas: 2.9Shepard: 2 games
Last 5 avgThomas: 2.0Shepard: 2 games
vs seasonThomas: +1.3 (Rising) (best)Shepard: 0.0
Yards per route runThomas: 1.61 (best)Shepard: 0.10
Receiving aDOTThomas: 1.2Shepard: 2 targets
Target share trendThomas: RisingShepard: 2 games
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterThomas: WR103 (best)Shepard: WR105
Deciding on someone else?
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