Ertz
TE · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
3.4pts
opportunity
Tremble
TE · CAR vs DET
Proj pts
2.3pts
opportunity
Tommy Tremble or Zach Ertz: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Zach Ertz. Bench Tommy Tremble. Zach Ertz leads at 3.4. Tommy Tremble is the first one out, 1.1 short.
Availability & news
Zach Ertz
Ertz reverted to the Eagles' practice squad Tuesday, per the NFL's transaction log.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Spike upside15.0 ceiling
Cons
- Shaky floor0.2 floor
Cons
- Low TE usage9% target share
- Thin volume2.5 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Ertz 15%, Tremble 47%.
Ertz: “Ertz reverted to the Eagles' practice squad Tuesday, per the NFL's transaction log.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Ertz 1.9 (PPR points).
Why Zach Ertz
Start Zach Ertz — projects 3.4, an even matchup vs LA.
Zach Ertz projects 3.4 points on a 0.2–15.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 5.5. Net: start Zach Ertz this week.
Working for Ertz: Spike upside (15.0 ceiling).
Working against Ertz: Shaky floor (0.2 floor).
Where Ertz leads the head-to-head: Projection (3.4 vs 2.3); Ceiling (15.0 vs 7.0); Target share (19% vs 9%); Last 3 avg (8.2 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (8.4 vs 4.7); Consistency (41% vs 0%); Boom rate (23% vs 20%); Bust rate (15% vs 47%); Targets / game (5.5 vs 2.5); Snap share (66% vs 60%); Red zone targets (9 vs 5); Touchdown dependence (19% vs 18%).
Why Tommy Tremble
Sit Tommy Tremble — projects 2.3, an even matchup vs DET.
Tommy Tremble projects 2.3 points on a 1.6–7.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against DET. Usage: targets / game at 2.5. Net: bench Tommy Tremble this week.
Working against Tremble: Low TE usage (9% target share), Thin volume (2.5 targets/g).
Where Tremble leads the head-to-head: Floor (1.6 vs 0.2); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs C+); Implied team total (23.5 vs 20.3); vs season (+0.4 vs -0.2).
Recent form
Zach Ertz's last 5 games: PPR points 9.4, 8.2, 20.6, 2.1, 1.9 (oldest to newest).
Tommy Tremble's last 3 games: PPR points 1.4, 5.5, 7.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Ertz has already beaten Tremble's 2.3 projection in 3 of his 5; Tremble has beaten Ertz's 3.4 in 2 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Zach Ertz (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.3, spread +3.0.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) faces DET, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Ertz's edge is 1.1 points (3.4 to 2.3). Tremble's ceiling (7) clears Ertz's projection, so a big game from Tremble flips it. Ertz's floor (0.2) sits under Tremble's projection, so a quiet game from Ertz flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.5 · 11.4
- Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft12.9 · 13.0
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq13.6 · 13.5
- Sam LaPorta or Travis Kelce14.9 · 15.1
- Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft13.2 · 13.0
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.0 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)