Week7 · 2026
Scoring

Updated Sun 25 Oct, 9:34 AM ET

Bench
WRSF

Xavier Smith

San Francisco 49ers

@ Atlanta FalconsSun 1:00 PM ET

Projected
1.2pts
Week rank
WR131
Started
—

Range this weekNuvela estimate

Floor 0.7Ceiling 2.0

WRSF @ ATLWR1311.2 projected (0.7–2.0)PPR

Should I start Xavier Smith in Week 7?

Sit Xavier Smith in Week 7.

Smith projects 1.2 PPR points to Makai Lemon’s 10.0.

Measured against the WR36 start line: Makai Lemon, WR36 at 10.0 projected PPR points, the last wide receiver inside it.

ConfidenceHighStart · 8.8 pts · The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Edge

Makai Lemon projects 8.8 more than Xavier Smith.

Why

With Smith and Wicks out, he's lined for more work.

What flips it

Only news flips this: an injury tag on Makai Lemon or a bigger role for Xavier Smith.

Why Xavier Smith

Sit Xavier Smith, 8.8 pts behind Makai Lemon.

Working for Smith: Track record lifts him, Room to bounce back, High scoring spot (26.5 projected team points).

Working against Smith: Smaller role expected, Low target share (1% target share), Thin volume (0.3 targets/g).

Matchup

Xavier Smith (SF) faces ATL, kickoff Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. His team projects 26.5 points. It projects as a close game.

Recent form

Xavier Smith's last 5 games: PPR points 2025 Wk 17 · 11.7, 2025 Wk 18 · 2.6, Wk 1 · 0.0, Wk 2 · 0.0, Wk 3 · 0.0 (oldest to newest).

At least 2 of these 5 games were played before the 2026 season.

Compare Xavier Smith with…

The players closest to Xavier Smith in this week’s PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Xavier SmithWR131 · 1.2 proj

Pick 1 to 4 players to compare with Smith.

Closest calls

More close calls for Smith

More WR start/sit callsWide receivers this week: the Week 7 WR rankings and all 640 calls

Stats behind the call

Each of Smith’s figures beside the WR36 start line. Blue means he’s ahead of it.

StatSmithBench@ ATLWR36 lineLemon · vs DAL
Scoring
ProjectionSmith: 1.2Lemon: 10.0
TD pointsof the projectionSmith: Our estimateLemon: 1.6
Expected TDsthis weekSmith: Our estimateLemon: 0.27
Projected team pointsSmith: 26.5 (ahead of the line)Lemon: 19.8
Red zone targetsper gameSmith: 0.3 (ahead of the line)Lemon: 0.0
Range
Last 5 games PPR pointsWR36 line 10.0Avg 2.9Xavier Smith’s last 5 games in PPR points, oldest to newest: 2025 Week 17, 11.7; 2025 Week 18, 2.6; Week 1, 0.0; Week 2, 0.0; Week 3, 0.0. Week 7 projection 1.2. The WR36 start line is 10.0.
FloorSmith: 0.7Lemon: 6.3
CeilingSmith: 2.0Lemon: 15.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSmith: 0 ptsLemon: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Smith: 3 gamesLemon: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSmith: 3 gamesLemon: 83%
SteadinessSmith: 3 gamesLemon: Steady±2.7 pts · 6 games

Deciding on someone else?

Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?