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Sit or StartSoon
MLBSoon
De'Aaron Fox headshot
G#4

De'AaronFox

Points 14.5
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs
@ NYKTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden
De'Aaron Fox headshot
G#4

De'AaronFox

Points 14.5(O -119 · U -109)
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs
@ NYKTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden

What the line assumes

A 14.5-point line sits below Fox's typical scoring night — close to a coin-flip.

Median PPG: 17Line: 14.5

All player props

Every line available for De'Aaron tonight, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

14.5

4 of 7 books agree

Updated 12 min ago

Nuvela projection

14.4

0.7% below the line

Season hit rate

59/91

above the line · 65%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample
24
18
21
15
12
9
5
15
7
20
14.5
14.4
5/105/125/155/225/245/265/285/306/36/5
Tonight
Consensus line
14.5O -119 · U -109
Over win%
6/1060%
Median
15
Projection
14.4Tonight
Explore line14.5

Distribution by time window

WindowGPMedianOver win%
L559
2/5
40%
L101015
6/10
60%
L202017
15/20
75%
Season9117
59/91
65%

Research context for tonight

AI-generated
2 factors in playrest & schedule is the swing variable

Tough matchupNYK 9th vs guards · pace -2.5 vs league

NYK is a top-9 defense against guards.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · +0.0 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Fox scores in line with his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact
David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)
Usage

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opp defense
Rest
Teammate
Any teammate
WithWithout
Matching games91
Median17
Over win%65%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tonight's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

3/1@ NYK3d rest · def #7 · road7
12/16@ NYK3d rest · def #7 · road16
1/28@ HOU3d rest · def #6 · road18
11/23@ PHX3d rest · def #9 · road26
1/31@ CHA3d rest · def #11 · road11
5-game comp set average15.6 points · 3 of 5 above 14.5

New York defense by position

New York's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. De'Aaron plays G.

PosRankPtsAstReb
PG220.98.65.2
SG1632.56.78.5
SF724.54.38.5
PF1821.33.99.6
C216.22.810.8

Similar guards vs New York · recently

L15 games

Lead guards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against New York.

PlayerDateMinPointsvs 14.5
NT
N. TraoreBKN
3/202411below
TM
T. McConnellIND
3/172010below
JH
J. HolidayPOR
1/30225below
AB
A. BlackORL
12/133712below
CH
C. HepburnTOR
12/980below
RD
R. DillinghamCHI
4/3173below

Injury report

SAS· San Antonio Spurs
Jones GarciaAnkle
OUT
NYK· NYK

Game log · season

most recent first
DateMatchupScoreMinLinePointsO/UPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKFGRestDefPace
6/5POvs NYKL104-1053415.520Over20352118-1267%2d#797.7
6/3POvs NYKL95-1053815.57Under7450103-1323%4d#797.7
5/30PO@ OKCW111-1033613.515Over15053306-1250%2d#1100.4
5/28POvs OKCW118-912615.55Under5570001-911%2d#1100.4
5/26PO@ OKCL114-1273314.59Under9480304-1527%2d#1100.4
5/24POvs OKCW103-823115.512Under121051115-1338%2d#1100.4
5/22POvs OKCL108-1233113.515Over15761107-1450%7d#1100.4
5/15PO@ MINW139-1092417.521Over21493028-1080%3d#8101.5
5/12POvs MINW126-973517.518Over18451006-1540%2d#8101.5
5/10PO@ MINL109-1143717.524Over24431308-2335%2d#8101.5
5/8PO@ MINW115-1083517.517Under17351107-1937%2d#8101.5
5/6POvs MINW133-952617.516Under16022205-1050%2d#8101.5
5/4POvs MINL102-1043317.510Under10360005-1436%6d#8101.5
4/28POvs PORW114-953417.521Over21392108-1457%2d#12101.6
4/26PO@ PORW114-933916.528Over286741211-1765%2d#12101.6
4/24PO@ PORW120-1083620.518Under18461007-1644%3d#12101.6
4/21POvs PORL103-1063416.517Over17241316-1638%2d#12101.6
4/19POvs PORW111-983417.517Under17582107-1547%7d#12101.6
4/12vs DENL118-1283317.524Over24654018-2138%2d#2199.5
4/10vs DALW139-1202717.518Over181102007-1450%2d#19102.6
4/8vs PORW112-1013421.525Over255733010-2050%2d#12101.6
4/6vs PHIW115-1022615.513Under13041216-1250%2d#17100.4
4/4@ DENL134-1364116.514Under14440107-1937%2d#2199.5
4/2@ LACW118-992919.522Over22851309-1369%1d#1897.3
4/1@ GSWW127-1132516.511Under11441204-757%2d#16100.0
3/30vs CHIW129-1142316.57Under7260203-838%2d#22103.2
3/28@ MILW127-952115.512Under12260106-967%5d#2698.3
3/23@ MIAW136-1112918.514Under14361105-1338%2d#14104.2
3/21vs INDW134-1192618.514Under14372106-1638%2d#24101.8
3/19vs PHXW101-1003318.523Over23731108-1747%2d#998.1
3/17@ SACW132-1042217.515Under15563105-1050%1d#28100.1
3/16@ LACW119-1153018.518Under18360026-1250%2d#1897.3
3/14vs CHAW115-1023518.517Under17641216-1638%2d#1197.6
3/12vs DENL131-1363620.527Over273941010-1953%2d#2199.5
3/10vs BOSW125-1163516.525Over253921011-1479%2d#495.6
3/8vs HOUW145-1203216.520Over202101009-1560%2d#697.0
3/6vs LACW116-1123016.519Over19291109-1850%1d#1897.3
3/5vs DETW121-1063216.529Over295342112-2255%2d#299.9
3/3@ PHIW131-912116.511Under11571104-850%2d#17100.4
3/1@ NYKL89-1143115.57Under7361003-1030%3d#797.7
2/26@ BKNW126-1102515.514Under14162206-875%1d#2597.6
2/25@ TORW110-1073116.520Over20212108-1553%2d#599.2
2/23@ DETW114-1033316.510Under10770204-1724%2d#299.9
2/21vs SACW139-1222716.518Over18251107-1164%2d#28100.1
2/19vs PHXW121-942217.515Under15382004-944%8d#998.1
2/11@ GSWW126-1133216.527Over270833011-1669%1d#16100.0
2/10@ LALW136-1081717.58Under8260213-743%3d#2099.2
2/7vs DALW138-1252617.515Under15251007-1354%2d#19102.6
2/5@ DALW135-1233216.517Over17373007-1644%1d#19102.6
2/4vs OKCW116-1063316.515Under154100315-1050%3d#1100.4
2/1vs ORLW112-1033019.514Under143100107-1450%1d#13100.6
1/31@ CHAL106-1113217.511Under11271205-1338%3d#1197.6
1/28@ HOUW111-993416.518Over18582016-1155%3d#697.0
1/25vs NOPL95-10435—12—12273004-850%3d#23101.4
1/22@ UTAW126-1093517.531Over315560110-1377%2d#29103.5
1/20@ HOUL106-1113216.514Under14352106-1540%1d#697.0
1/19vs UTAW123-1103319.514Under14582406-1155%2d#29103.5
1/17vs MINW126-1233718.525Over2531220110-1759%2d#8101.5
1/15vs MILW119-1012318.518Under18443006-1060%2d#2698.3
1/13@ OKCL98-1193417.514Under14552105-956%2d#1100.4
1/11@ MINL103-1043418.512Under12840106-1932%1d#8101.5
1/10@ BOSW100-953619.521Over21961109-1656%3d#495.6
1/7vs LALW107-913419.514Under14350105-1436%1d#2099.2
1/6@ MEML105-1063021.59Under9581014-1822%3d#27101.7
1/3vs PORL110-1153523.519Under19642307-1450%1d#12101.6
1/2@ INDW123-1133224.524Under247421010-1953%2d#24101.8
12/31vs NYKW134-1323819.526Over261713011-2152%2d#797.7
12/29vs CLEL101-1133219.514Under14231104-1331%4d#15100.7
12/25@ OKCW117-1023317.529Over294331112-1963%2d#1100.4
12/23vs OKCW130-1103418.56Under6390003-933%2d#1100.4
12/21@ WASW124-1133320.527Over277650110-1953%2d#30102.5
12/19@ ATLW126-982219.58Under8580104-1136%1d#10102.5
12/18vs WASW119-942521.56Under6331301-813%2d#30102.5
12/16@ NYKL113-1243221.516Under16292105-1338%3d#797.7
12/13@ OKCW111-1093719.522Over22243218-1553%3d#1100.4
12/10@ LALW132-1193121.520Under20434208-1747%2d#2099.2
12/8@ NOPW135-13230—14—14472104-1136%3d#23101.4
12/5@ CLEL117-1303325.525Under25592109-1947%2d#15100.7
12/3@ ORLW114-1122925.531Over315530011-2055%1d#13100.6
12/2vs MEMW126-1193124.529Over29444308-1942%2d#27101.7
11/30@ MINL112-1253223.525Over252421010-1567%2d#8101.5
11/28@ DENW139-1363424.515Under151121116-1932%2d#2199.5
11/26@ PORW115-1023324.537Over376833111-2544%3d#12101.6
11/23@ PHXL102-1113325.526Over26532005-1145%3d#998.1
11/20vs ATLW135-1263125.526Over26592309-1656%2d#10102.5
11/18vs MEMW111-1013326.526Under261332110-2050%2d#27101.7
11/16vs SACW123-1103523.528Over2821141011-2055%2d#28100.1
11/14vs GSWL108-1093319.524Over2441043110-2245%2d#16100.0
11/12vs GSWL120-1253619.513Under13551005-1436%2d#16100.0
11/10@ CHIW121-1173719.521Over21451008-1457%2d#22103.2
11/8vs NOPW126-11931—24—24332109-1464%—#23101.4
Averages31.418.718.018.03.86.11.71.20.348%2.3d#14100.3

Prop odds

Points 14.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line
O 14.5-123
U 14.5-106
Consensus
O 14.5-119
U 14.5-109
DraftKings
O 14.5-115
U 14.5-111
FanDuel
O 14.5-120
U 14.5-104
BetMGM
O 14.5-115
U 14.5-115
BetRivers
O 15.5+102
U 15.5-139
ESPN BET
O 15.5+105
U 15.5-140
Hard Rock Bet
O 14.5-125
U 14.5-105
Bovada
O 17.5+180
U 17.5-245

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