
What the line assumes
A 14.5-point line sits below Fox's typical scoring night — close to a coin-flip.
Every line available for De'Aaron tonight, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.
Consensus line
14.5
4 of 7 books agree
Updated 12 min agoNuvela projection
14.4
0.7% below the line
Season hit rate
59/91
above the line · 65%
| Window | GP | Median | Over win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 9 | 2/5 40% |
| L10 | 10 | 15 | 6/10 60% |
| L20 | 20 | 17 | 15/20 75% |
| Season | 91 | 17 | 59/91 65% |
Tough matchupNYK 9th vs guards · pace -2.5 vs league
NYK is a top-9 defense against guards.
Rest & venue4 days rest · +0.0 pts on rest
On 4 days rest, Fox scores in line with his season norm.
One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.
Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.
Tonight's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.
New York's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. De'Aaron plays G.
| Pos | Rank | Pts | Ast | Reb |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | 2 | 20.9 | 8.6 | 5.2 |
| SG | 16 | 32.5 | 6.7 | 8.5 |
| SF | 7 | 24.5 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| PF | 18 | 21.3 | 3.9 | 9.6 |
| C | 2 | 16.2 | 2.8 | 10.8 |
Lead guards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against New York.
| Player | Date | Min | Points | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NT N. TraoreBKN | 3/20 | 24 | 11 | below |
TM T. McConnellIND | 3/17 | 20 | 10 | below |
JH J. HolidayPOR | 1/30 | 22 | 5 | below |
AB A. BlackORL | 12/13 | 37 | 12 | below |
CH C. HepburnTOR | 12/9 | 8 | 0 | below |
RD R. DillinghamCHI | 4/3 | 17 | 3 | below |
Points 14.5 — over/under odds across the market.
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