
What the line assumes
A 17.5-point line sits below Towns's typical scoring night — close to a coin-flip.
Every line available for Karl-Anthony tonight, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.
Consensus line
17.5
5 of 6 books agree
Updated 6h agoNuvela projection
17.3
1.1% below the line
Season hit rate
55/95
above the line · 58%
| Window | GP | Median | Over win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 18 | 4/5 80% |
| L10 | 10 | 17.5 | 5/10 50% |
| L20 | 20 | 18 | 12/20 60% |
| Season | 95 | 19 | 55/95 58% |
Even matchupSAS 13th vs centers · pace +0.5 vs league
SAS is middle-of-the-pack defending centers.
Rest & venue4 days rest · -0.4 pts on rest
On 4 days rest, Towns averages -0.4 points vs his season norm.
One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.
Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.
Tonight's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.
San Antonio's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Karl-Anthony plays C-F.
| Pos | Rank | Pts | Ast | Reb |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | 3 | 21.1 | 6.9 | 5.8 |
| SG | 14 | 31.9 | 7.5 | 9.4 |
| SF | 12 | 25.5 | 5.1 | 9.1 |
| PF | 5 | 19.4 | 3.7 | 8.7 |
| C | 13 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 11.3 |
Lead forwards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against San Antonio.
| Player | Date | Min | Points | vs 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NR N. ReidMIN | 5/15 | 32 | 18 | above |
NV N. VucevicBOS | 11/10 | 29 | 11 | below |
DQ D. QueenNO | 1/25 | 17 | 4 | below |
PR P. ReedDET | 3/5 | 9 | 6 | below |
ZE Z. EdeyMEM | 12/2 | 30 | 19 | above |
YH Y. HansenPOR | 4/28 | 1 | 0 | below |
Points 17.5 — over/under odds across the market.
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