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Karl-Anthony Towns headshot
C-F#32

Karl-AnthonyTowns

Points 17.5
New York KnicksNew York Knicks
vs SASTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden
Karl-Anthony Towns headshot
C-F#32

Karl-AnthonyTowns

Points 17.5(O -118 · U -112)
New York KnicksNew York Knicks
vs SASTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden

What the line assumes

A 17.5-point line sits below Towns's typical scoring night — close to a coin-flip.

Median PPG: 19Line: 17.5

All player props

Every line available for Karl-Anthony tonight, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

17.5

5 of 6 books agree

Updated 6h ago

Nuvela projection

17.3

1.1% below the line

Season hit rate

55/95

above the line · 58%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample
17
20
8
17
13
18
13
19
18
21
17.5
17.3
5/45/65/85/105/195/215/235/256/36/5
Tonight
Consensus line
17.5O -118 · U -112
Over win%
5/1050%
Median
17.5
Projection
17.3Tonight
Explore line17.5

Distribution by time window

WindowGPMedianOver win%
L5518
4/5
80%
L101017.5
5/10
50%
L202018
12/20
60%
Season9519
55/95
58%

Research context for tonight

AI-generated
2 factors in playrest & schedule is the swing variable

Even matchupSAS 13th vs centers · pace +0.5 vs league

SAS is middle-of-the-pack defending centers.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · -0.4 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Towns averages -0.4 points vs his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact
David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)
Matchup

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opp defense
Rest
Teammate
Any teammate
WithWithout
Matching games95
Median19
Over win%58%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tonight's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

12/16vs SAS3d rest · def #3 · home16
5/4vs PHI4d rest · def #17 · home17
10/2vs PHIrest n/a · def #17 · home11
3/15vs GSW4d rest · def #16 · home17
10/9vs MIN5d rest · def #8 · home10
5-game comp set average14.2 points · 0 of 5 above 17.5

San Antonio defense by position

San Antonio's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Karl-Anthony plays C-F.

PosRankPtsAstReb
PG321.16.95.8
SG1431.97.59.4
SF1225.55.19.1
PF519.43.78.7
C1318.04.011.3

Similar forwards vs San Antonio · recently

L15 games

Lead forwards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against San Antonio.

PlayerDateMinPointsvs 17.5
NR
N. ReidMIN
5/153218above
NV
N. VucevicBOS
11/102911below
DQ
D. QueenNO
1/25174below
PR
P. ReedDET
3/596below
ZE
Z. EdeyMEM
12/23019above
YH
Y. HansenPOR
4/2810below

Injury report

NYK· New York Knicks
SAS· SAS
Jones GarciaAnkle
OUT

Game log · season

most recent first
DateMatchupScoreMinLinePointsO/UPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKFGRestDefPace
6/5PO@ SASW105-1043416.521Over211343118-1267%2d#3100.7
6/3PO@ SASW105-953416.518Over181240017-1547%9d#3100.7
5/25PO@ CLEW130-932616.519Over191433228-1173%2d#15100.7
5/23PO@ CLEW121-1083617.513Under13871314-944%2d#15100.7
5/21POvs CLEW109-933617.518Over181313007-1258%2d#15100.7
5/19POvs CLEW115-1044018.513Under131351116-1443%9d#15100.7
5/10PO@ PHIW144-1142018.517Under174102025-771%2d#17100.4
5/8PO@ PHIW108-942619.58Under81270013-838%2d#17100.4
5/6POvs PHIW108-1022720.520Under201071106-875%2d#17100.4
5/4POvs PHIW137-982019.517Under17663027-1164%4d#17100.4
4/30PO@ ATLW140-892719.512Under1211100311-425%2d#10102.5
4/28POvs ATLW126-973419.516Under161461225-771%3d#10102.5
4/25PO@ ATLW114-982920.520Under2010101206-1060%2d#10102.5
4/23PO@ ATLL108-1093419.521Over211741237-1258%3d#10102.5
4/20POvs ATLL106-1073420.518Under18822028-1267%2d#10102.5
4/18POvs ATLW113-1023320.525Over25843136-1346%8d#10102.5
4/10vs TORW112-953018.522Over221051008-1267%1d#599.2
4/9vs BOSW112-1063017.516Under161241206-1250%3d#495.6
4/6@ ATLW108-1053219.521Over211262219-1275%5d#10102.5
4/1@ MEMW130-1192923.520Under2011110018-1267%1d#27101.7
3/31@ HOUL94-1113418.522Over22832007-1741%2d#697.0
3/29@ OKCL100-1113416.515Under151820105-956%3d#1100.4
3/26@ CHAL103-1142218.513Under13321005-863%2d#1197.6
3/24vs NOPW121-11624—21—211412008-1747%2d#23101.4
3/22vs WASW145-1132620.526Over261631109-1369%2d#30102.5
3/20@ BKNW93-922918.526Over261511107-1644%3d#2597.6
3/17vs INDW136-1103222.522Under221122319-2143%2d#24101.8
3/15vs GSWW110-1073118.517Under171220117-1258%4d#16100.0
3/11@ UTAW134-1173020.521Over21773008-1362%2d#29103.5
3/9@ LACL118-1263619.535Over3512730113-1776%1d#1897.3
3/8@ LALL97-1103417.525Over251621118-1747%2d#2099.2
3/6@ DENW142-1032717.517Under171321107-1258%2d#2199.5
3/4vs OKCL100-1033317.517Under171710007-888%1d#1100.4
3/3@ TORW111-952917.521Over2112611110-1759%2d#599.2
3/1vs SASW114-892818.512Under121410105-956%2d#3100.7
2/27@ MILW127-982918.517Under171311006-1346%3d#2698.3
2/24@ CLEL94-1092918.514Under14721125-5100%2d#15100.7
2/22@ CHIW105-993220.528Over2811253010-1759%1d#22103.2
2/21vs HOUW108-1063417.525Over257131010-1567%2d#697.0
2/19vs DETL111-1263118.521Over211141107-1450%8d#299.9
2/11@ PHIW138-892619.521Over211151118-1362%1d#17100.4
2/10vs INDL134-1373221.522Over221431008-1747%2d#24101.8
2/8@ BOSW111-892918.511Under111010103-933%4d#495.6
2/4vs DENW134-1273118.524Over241212009-1369%1d#2199.5
2/3@ WASW132-1012620.519Under191531207-1644%2d#30102.5
2/1vs LALW112-1003218.511Under111340205-1145%2d#2099.2
1/30vs PORW127-972918.514Under142031015-1242%2d#12101.6
1/28@ TORW119-923519.58Under82220013-1127%1d#599.2
1/27vs SACW103-872720.517Under171143005-1533%3d#28100.1
1/24@ PHIW112-1091619.510Under10611012-450%3d#17100.4
1/21vs BKNW120-662020.514Under14832105-863%2d#2597.6
1/19vs DALL97-1143020.522Over221842119-1947%2d#19102.6
1/17vs PHXL99-1063521.523Over231123117-1644%2d#998.1
1/15@ GSWL113-1263123.517Under172022116-1443%1d#16100.0
1/14@ SACL101-1123320.513Under13410505-1436%3d#28100.1
1/11@ PORW123-1142819.520Over201132029-1369%2d#12101.6
1/9@ PHXL107-1123320.515Under151252005-1145%2d#998.1
1/7vs LACW123-1113120.520Under201170116-1833%2d#1897.3
1/5@ DETL90-1212321.56Under6111001-425%2d#299.9
1/3vs PHIL119-1303421.523Over231420206-1638%3d#17100.4
12/31@ SASL132-1343321.520Under20742105-1050%2d#3100.7
12/29@ NOPW130-12530—12—121242024-944%2d#23101.4
12/27@ ATLW128-1253022.536Over361513008-1553%2d#10102.5
12/25vs CLEW126-1242721.511Under111410205-1338%2d#15100.7
12/23@ MINL104-1153526.540Over4013131014-2458%2d#8101.5
12/21vs MIAW132-1252921.52Under2620201-520%2d#14104.2
12/19vs PHIL107-1163520.522Over221111007-1547%3d#17100.4
12/16vs SASW124-1133021.516Under161112206-1250%3d#3100.7
12/13@ ORLW132-1203721.529Over29822119-1182%4d#13100.6
12/9@ TORW117-1013122.514Under141611124-1136%4d#599.2
12/5vs UTAW146-1122224.518Under18944105-1145%2d#29103.5
12/3vs CHAW119-1043924.535Over3518532013-2357%1d#1197.6
12/2@ BOSL117-1233322.529Over297220112-1963%2d#495.6
11/30vs TORW116-943123.522Under22821008-1553%2d#599.2
11/28vs MILW118-1093623.59Under91041012-825%2d#2698.3
11/26@ CHAW129-1013224.519Under191030006-1346%2d#1197.6
11/24@ BKNW113-1003323.537Over3712331214-2070%2d#2597.6
11/22@ ORLL121-1333721.524Over24832006-1443%3d#13100.6
11/19@ DALW113-1113526.518Under181461206-1638%2d#19102.6
11/17@ MIAL113-1153329.522Under221521017-1937%3d#14104.2
11/14vs MIAW140-1323825.539Over3911461013-2650%2d#14104.2
11/12vs ORLL107-1243521.515Under151241106-1540%1d#13100.6
11/11vs MEMW133-1203221.521Under211343327-1741%2d#27101.7
11/9vs BKNW134-982821.528Over2812202010-1759%4d#2597.6
11/5vs MINW137-1143120.515Under151041025-1145%2d#8101.5
11/3vs WASW119-1023022.533Over3313532012-2450%1d#30102.5
11/2vs CHIW128-1163621.520Under201552025-1145%2d#22103.2
10/31@ CHIL125-1353221.522Over221041016-1443%3d#22103.2
10/28@ MILL111-1213521.58Under81210112-1217%2d#2698.3
10/26@ MIAL107-1153622.515Under151822126-1443%2d#14104.2
10/24vs BOSW105-953320.526Over261334116-1638%2d#495.6
10/22vs CLEW119-1113120.519Under191121005-1242%13d#15100.7
10/9vs MINW100-9526—10—101120212-1118%5d#8101.5
10/4@ PHIW113-10417—6—6310001-425%2d#17100.4
10/2vs PHIW99-8417—11—11510102-450%—#17100.4
Averages30.520.519.219.211.53.41.50.90.751%2.6d#15100.4

Prop odds

Points 17.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line
O 17.5-128
U 17.5-103
Consensus
O 17.5-118
U 17.5-112
DraftKings
O 17.5-115
U 17.5-111
FanDuel
O 17.5-118
U 17.5-112
BetMGM
O 17.5-115
U 17.5-115
BetRivers
O 17.5-118
U 17.5-115
ESPN BET
O 18.5-105
U 18.5-125
Hard Rock Bet
O 17.5-125
U 17.5-105
Bovada
O 21.5+190
U 21.5-260

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