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Sit or StartSoon
MLBSoon
Victor Wembanyama headshot
F-C#1

VictorWembanyama

Points 27.5
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs
@ NYKTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden
Victor Wembanyama headshot
F-C#1

VictorWembanyama

Points 27.5(O -113 · U -116)
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs
@ NYKTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden

What the line assumes

A 27.5-point line sits above Wembanyama's typical scoring night — close to a coin-flip.

Median PPG: 25Line: 27.5

All player props

Every line available for Victor tonight, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

27.5

4 of 7 books agree

Updated 6h ago

Nuvela projection

24.7

10.2% below the line

Season hit rate

30/88

above the line · 34%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample
19
41
21
26
33
20
28
22
26
29
27.5
24.7
5/155/185/205/225/245/265/285/306/36/5
Tonight
Consensus line
27.5O -113 · U -116
Over win%
4/1040%
Median
26
Projection
24.7Tonight
Explore line27.5

Distribution by time window

WindowGPMedianOver win%
L5526
2/5
40%
L101026
4/10
40%
L202026
7/20
35%
Season8825
30/88
34%

Research context for tonight

AI-generated
2 factors in playrest & schedule is the swing variable

Tough matchupNYK 12th vs forwards · pace -2.5 vs league

NYK is a top-12 defense against forwards.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · +0.6 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Wembanyama averages +0.6 points vs his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact
David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)
Usage

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opp defense
Rest
Teammate
Any teammate
WithWithout
Matching games88
Median25
Over win%34%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tonight's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

3/1@ NYK3d rest · def #7 · road25
12/16@ NYK3d rest · def #7 · road18
1/28@ HOU3d rest · def #6 · road28
11/2@ PHX3d rest · def #9 · road9
1/31@ CHA3d rest · def #11 · road16
5-game comp set average19.2 points · 1 of 5 above 27.5

New York defense by position

New York's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Victor plays F-C.

PosRankPtsAstReb
PG220.98.65.2
SG1632.56.78.5
SF724.54.38.5
PF1821.33.99.6
C216.22.810.8

Similar forwards vs New York · recently

L15 games

Lead forwards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against New York.

PlayerDateMinPointsvs 27.5
NJ
N. JokicDEN
3/63138above
KP
K. PorzingisGS
1/2174below
JV
J. ValanciunasDEN
3/622below
AS
A. SengunHOU
3/313013below
AS
A. SarrWAS
2/32511below
DS
D. SabonisSAC
1/273311below

Injury report

SAS· San Antonio Spurs
Jones GarciaAnkle
OUT
NYK· NYK

Game log · season

most recent first
DateMatchupScoreMinLinePointsO/UPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKFGRestDefPace
6/5POvs NYKL104-1054027.529Over299222411-2152%2d#797.7
6/3POvs NYKL95-1053826.526Under261222136-2129%4d#797.7
5/30PO@ OKCW111-1034226.522Under22723117-1547%2d#1100.4
5/28POvs OKCW118-912828.528Under2810242310-2148%2d#1100.4
5/26PO@ OKCL114-1273826.520Under20610234-1527%2d#1100.4
5/24POvs OKCW103-823125.533Over338532311-2250%2d#1100.4
5/22POvs OKCL108-1233925.526Over26432128-1553%2d#1100.4
5/20PO@ OKCL113-1223725.521Under211763148-1650%2d#1100.4
5/18PO@ OKCW122-1154924.541Over4124311314-2556%3d#1100.4
5/15PO@ MINW139-1092726.519Under19620036-1155%3d#8101.5
5/12POvs MINW126-973326.527Over271752039-1656%2d#8101.5
5/10PO@ MINL109-1141226.54Under4410002-540%2d#8101.5
5/8PO@ MINW115-1083725.539Over3915131513-1872%2d#8101.5
5/6POvs MINW133-952626.519Under191522127-1547%2d#8101.5
5/4POvs MINL102-1044027.511Under1115500125-1729%6d#8101.5
4/28POvs PORW114-953426.517Under171431065-771%2d#12101.6
4/26PO@ PORW114-933425.527Over271131479-1753%5d#12101.6
4/21POvs PORL103-1061227.55Under5410011-333%2d#12101.6
4/19POvs PORW111-983327.535Over355150213-2162%9d#12101.6
4/10vs DALW139-1202619.540Over4013521214-2361%4d#19102.6
4/6vs PHIW115-1021627.517Under17511037-1164%2d#17100.4
4/4@ DENL134-1364028.534Over341872158-1747%3d#2199.5
4/1@ GSWW127-1132925.541Over4118320316-2273%2d#16100.0
3/30vs CHIW129-1143126.541Over4116431317-2763%2d#22103.2
3/28@ MILW127-953124.523Under231560217-2133%3d#2698.3
3/25@ MEMW123-982726.519Under191531378-1553%2d#27101.7
3/23@ MIAW136-1112626.526Under2615410511-2250%2d#14104.2
3/21vs INDW134-1192625.520Under20861158-1844%2d#24101.8
3/19vs PHXW101-1003525.534Over3412123110-2050%2d#998.1
3/17@ SACW132-1042224.518Under18832017-1450%1d#28100.1
3/16@ LACW119-1153425.521Under211322149-2045%2d#1897.3
3/14vs CHAW115-1023124.532Over3212852413-2454%4d#1197.6
3/10vs BOSW125-1163724.539Over3911381211-2055%2d#495.6
3/8vs HOUW145-1203024.529Over29812249-1369%2d#697.0
3/6vs LACW116-1122222.527Over2710141411-2152%1d#1897.3
3/5vs DETW121-1063923.538Over3816340512-2450%2d#299.9
3/3@ PHIW131-912424.510Under10841363-560%2d#17100.4
3/1@ NYKL89-1143424.525Over251321048-1747%3d#797.7
2/26@ BKNW126-1102623.512Under12850223-933%1d#2597.6
2/25@ TORW110-1073022.512Under12831153-1225%2d#599.2
2/23@ DETW114-1033623.521Under211742166-1638%2d#299.9
2/21vs SACW139-1223023.528Over2815611411-2055%2d#28100.1
2/19vs PHXW121-942523.517Under171141157-1547%8d#998.1
2/11@ GSWW126-1133322.526Over26942128-1747%1d#16100.0
2/10@ LALW136-1082622.540Over4012242113-2065%3d#2099.2
2/7vs DALW138-1252723.516Under161111036-1443%2d#19102.6
2/5@ DALW135-1233423.529Over291165239-1464%1d#19102.6
2/4vs OKCW116-1062822.522Under221421029-1656%3d#1100.4
2/1vs ORLW112-1032823.525Over25820457-1354%1d#13100.6
1/31@ CHAL106-1113125.516Under16810106-1540%3d#1197.6
1/28@ HOUW111-992923.528Over281630258-1553%3d#697.0
1/25vs NOPL95-10431—16—161602046-1638%3d#23101.4
1/22@ UTAW126-1093325.526Over261434159-1464%2d#29103.5
1/20@ HOUL106-1113022.514Under141020005-2124%1d#697.0
1/19vs UTAW123-1102624.533Over3310172210-1856%2d#29103.5
1/17vs MINW126-1233123.539Over399340212-2352%2d#8101.5
1/15vs MILW119-1012223.522Under221015027-1258%2d#2698.3
1/13@ OKCL98-1192820.517Under17710017-1547%2d#1100.4
1/11@ MINL103-1042720.529Over29713308-1844%1d#8101.5
1/10@ BOSW100-952620.521Over21611038-1747%3d#495.6
1/7vs LALW107-912620.516Under161420247-1547%1d#2099.2
1/6@ MEML105-1062118.530Over305331110-2050%6d#27101.7
12/31vs NYKW134-1322424.531Over3113120110-1283%2d#797.7
12/29vs CLEL101-1132720.526Over261432117-1644%2d#15100.7
12/27vs UTAL114-1272819.532Over327300512-2157%2d#29103.5
12/25@ OKCW117-1022617.519Over191122116-1250%2d#1100.4
12/23vs OKCW130-1102317.512Under12531005-956%2d#1100.4
12/21@ WASW124-1132218.514Under141220026-1346%2d#30102.5
12/19@ ATLW126-982118.526Over2612321210-1567%1d#10102.5
12/18vs WASW119-941719.515Under15841046-1155%2d#30102.5
12/16@ NYKL113-1242519.518Under18612127-1741%3d#797.7
12/13@ OKCW111-1092118.522Over22921126-1155%29d#1100.4
11/14vs GSWL108-1093826.526Under2612431310-2148%2d#16100.0
11/12vs GSWL120-1253624.531Over31151030111-2250%2d#16100.0
11/10@ CHIW121-1173625.538Over3812561511-1958%2d#22103.2
11/8vs NOPW126-11932—18—181832138-1942%1d#23101.4
11/7vs HOUW121-1103725.522Under22840128-1650%2d#697.0
11/5@ LALL116-1183326.519Under19830115-1436%3d#2099.2
11/2@ PHXL118-1303427.59Under9921144-1429%3d#998.1
10/30vs MIAW107-1014027.527Under2718611510-2343%3d#14104.2
10/27vs TORW121-1033129.524Under241540117-888%1d#599.2
10/26vs BKNW118-1073629.531Over311443369-2143%2d#2597.6
10/24@ NOPW120-11632—29—2911201913-2357%2d#23101.4
10/22@ DALW125-923024.540Over4015111315-2171%5d#19102.6
10/17vs INDW133-10424—17—171211147-978%4d#24101.8
10/13@ INDW124-10825—27—271142319-1369%3d#24101.8
10/10vs UTAW134-13016—22—22731006-1060%2d#29103.5
10/8@ MIAW112-10722—10—10450124-944%—#14104.2
Averages29.724.224.424.411.13.01.81.03.151%2.8d#14100.3

Prop odds

Points 27.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line
O 26.5-124
U 26.5-104
Consensus
O 27.5-113
U 27.5-116
DraftKings
O 27.5-117
U 27.5-109
FanDuel
O 27.5-110
U 27.5-120
BetMGM
O 27.5-105
U 27.5-125
BetRivers
O 28.5+108
U 28.5-148
Fanatics
O 26.5-125
U 26.5-105
ESPN BET
O 28.5+105
U 28.5-140
Hard Rock Bet
O 27.5-120
U 27.5-110
Bovada
O 32.5+205
U 32.5-280

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