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Denver Nuggets logo
West#354–28 REGULAR SEASON

DenverNuggets

Last@ MinnesotaApr 30 · Final
Denver Nuggets logo
West#354–28 REGULAR SEASON

DenverNuggets

Last@ MinnesotaApr 30 · Final

How good are they

Four numbers that define the team. Any rank shown is out of all 30 NBA teams.

Net ratingScoring margin per 100 possessions
5.27
+5.1 vs avg
Offensive ratingPoints scored per 100
121.21
+6.4 vs avg
Defensive ratingPoints allowed per 100 · lower is better
116.021
+1.3 vs avg
PacePossessions per game
99.520
-0.7 vs avg

Recent form

Margin · last 10
-12
+12
-16
-17
-5
+11
+10
+20
+17
+5
@MINMIN@MIN@MINMINMIN@SASOKCMEMPOR
Record · last 106–4
Avg margin+2.5
Net rating—
WindowGPMarginNetWin%
L55-7.6—1/5
L1010+2.5—6/10
L2020+6.0—15/20
Season88+4.5—56/88

Research context for tonight

AI-generated
3 factors in playmarket is the swing variable

Rested3 day rest

DEN has 3 days of rest.

Rest & schedule

Favored-7.5 spread

DEN is favored by 7.5.

Market

Tough defenseMIN 8th DRtg

MIN ranks 8th in defensive rating.

Key matchup

Injury analysis

AI-generated
High impactOUT is the biggest swing

Peyton Watson OUTDEN · Out

DEN's Peyton Watson is out (Hamstring). High-impact rotation piece (29 mpg).

Usage

Aaron Gordon OUTDEN · Out

DEN's Aaron Gordon is out (Calf). High-impact rotation piece (27 mpg).

Usage

Donte DiVincenzo OUTMIN · Out

MIN's Donte DiVincenzo is out (Achilles). Lower-impact bench role.

Matchup

Lineup impact

On/off net-rating swing — how the team plays with each key player on the floor versus off it.

With Johnson
Point margin6.6(+6.6)
60 GP · sufficient sample
Without Johnson
Point margin0.0(-6.6)
28 GP · sufficient sample

Custom splits

Interactive

Filter the team’s games this season. ATS rate, over/under rate, and average margin update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opponent
Role
Rest
Lineup
▼
ATS record · season33%
Matching games88
Straight-up56-32
Above-total rate62%
Avg margin+4.5

What drives the net rating

Each side's impact versus an average team, broken into the factors behind it, each ranked leaguewide.

OffensePoints added per 100 possessions vs an average team
+6.41st
FactorValuevs avgRankTrue shooting61.6%+0.01Ball security12.8%-0.02Off. rebounding28.6%-0.022
DefensePoints added per 100 possessions vs an average team
-1.321st
FactorValuevs avgRankDef. rebounding71.7%+0.03
Net efficiency
+5.27th

Roster & availability

Availability updated 33 days ago · from the latest official injury report. Statuses can change up to tip-off.

PlayerRoleMPGUSG%PPGRPGAPGStatus
Jamal MurrayLead creator35.028.2%24.94.36.8AVA
Nikola JokicSecondary creator34.530.0%26.912.610.3AVA
Christian BraunRotation31.014.3%11.54.52.6AVA
Cameron JohnsonRotation29.815.3%12.13.72.4AVA
Peyton WatsonRotation28.820.9%14.24.82.0OUT
Aaron GordonScorer27.422.1%15.85.72.5OUT
Tim Hardaway Jr.Rotation25.918.6%12.92.61.3AVA
Bruce BrownRotation23.714.8%7.73.72.1AVA
Spencer JonesRotation21.99.5%5.33.10.7AVA
Jalen PickettRotation15.415.8%5.12.22.2AVA
NNuvela.ai readAI-generated

Murray headlines the offense (25 ppg, 28% usage). Jokic is the secondary option (27 ppg). Jokic anchors the glass (12.6 rpg). A 10-deep rotation; results swing with availability when any of the top minutes-earners sit.

Injury report

DEN· Denver Nuggets
GordonCalf
OUT
WatsonHamstring
OUT
MIN· MIN
DiVincenzoAchilles
OUT

Schedule

How they've come in and what's ahead, including the rest-and-travel picture.

Recent results
L@ MIN98-110
Wvs MIN125-113
L@ MIN96-112
L@ MIN96-113
Lvs MIN114-119

Game log

season + postseason · most recent first
DateRoundMatchupResultScoreMarginORTGDRTGNetPace
4/30PO1R G6@ MINL98-110-12105.4118.8-13.592.8
4/27PO1R G5vs MINW125-113+12119.0105.5+13.6106.1
4/25PO1R G4@ MINL96-112-1698.6116.1-17.596.9
4/23PO1R G3@ MINL96-113-1792.7112.7-20.1101.9
4/20PO1R G2vs MINL114-119-5110.5112.1-1.6104.7
4/18PO1R G1vs MINW116-105+11108.9103.6+5.3103.9
4/12—@ SASW128-118+10127.1115.8+11.4101.3
4/10—vs OKCW127-107+20121.3104.6+16.7103.5
4/8—vs MEMW136-119+17133.0121.3+11.7100.2
4/6—vs PORW137-132+5128.6125.3+3.295.9
4/4—vs SASW136-134+2125.1120.9+4.399.4
4/1—@ UTAW130-117+13123.1110.4+12.7105.8
3/29—vs GSWW116-93+23120.5101.3+19.294.1
3/27—vs UTAW135-129+6109.7113.8-4.1118.2
3/25—vs DALW142-135+7128.2116.4+11.8113.4
3/24—@ PHXW125-123+2129.9125.2+4.897.2
3/22—vs PORW128-112+16125.8112.0+13.9101.0
3/20—vs TORW121-115+6130.1120.9+9.294.1
3/18—@ MEML118-125-7105.7113.6-7.9110.9
3/17—vs PHIW124-96+28119.691.8+27.9104.1
3/14—@ LALL125-127-2110.9112.0-1.0102.4
3/12—@ SASW136-131+5126.3122.3+3.9107.4
3/11—vs HOUW129-93+36132.191.0+41.0100.0
3/9—@ OKCL126-129-3123.8126.2-2.4102.0
3/6—vs NYKL103-142-3999.8141.7-41.9101.3
3/5—vs LALW120-113+7120.4115.8+4.798.3
3/2—@ UTAW128-125+3132.8127.0+5.897.0
3/1—vs MINL108-117-9109.2117.8-8.599.1
2/27—@ OKCL121-127-6102.0110.6-8.6106.2
2/25—vs BOSW103-84+19108.588.5+20.094.5
2/22—@ GSWL117-128-11109.6121.6-12.0106.5
2/20—@ PORW157-103+54140.194.7+45.4110.4
2/19—@ LACL114-115-1103.0109.3-6.3108.8
2/11—vs MEMW122-116+6121.9118.1+3.899.2
2/9—vs CLEL117-119-2115.4117.0-1.6101.5
2/7—@ CHIW136-120+16134.0114.5+19.5103.2
2/4—@ NYKL127-134-7109.6121.4-11.893.3
2/3—@ DETL121-124-3121.1119.0+2.1102.1
2/1—vs OKCL111-121-10112.6123.6-11.099.0
1/30—vs LACW122-109+13132.5116.9+15.692.7
1/29—vs BKNW107-103+4118.9118.5+0.488.1
1/27—vs DETL107-109-2111.3114.8-3.595.5
1/23—@ MILW102-100+2104.0104.3-0.396.6
1/22—@ WASW107-97+10113.3102.6+10.794.5
1/20—vs LALL107-115-8112.2116.1-3.996.8
1/18—vs CHAL87-110-23100.1121.3-21.288.8
1/17—vs WASW121-115+6117.3111.9+5.4102.9
1/14—@ DALW118-109+9122.1108.4+13.698.2
1/13—@ NOPW122-116+6121.9117.6+4.399.4
1/11—vs MILW108-104+4110.6112.1-1.594.8
1/9—vs ATLL87-110-2390.8112.5-21.797.2
1/7—@ BOSW114-110+4123.2116.3+6.993.6
1/5—@ PHIW125-124+1121.0116.6+4.495.7
1/4—@ BKNL115-127-12117.0133.3-16.396.8
1/2—@ CLEL108-113-5105.1117.3-12.1100.0
12/31—@ TORW106-103+3110.5102.8+7.798.1
12/29—@ MIAL123-147-24119.8142.6-22.8103.8
12/27—@ ORLL126-127-1125.7124.2+1.6100.8
12/25—vs MINW142-138+4117.3115.8+1.5109.2
12/23—@ DALL130-131-1130.8132.9-2.199.8
12/22—vs UTAW135-112+23129.8104.3+25.5105.7
12/20—vs HOUL101-115-1497.9118.4-20.599.7
12/18—vs ORLW126-115+11122.8115.6+7.2100.6
12/15—vs HOUW128-125+3124.9115.3+9.695.5
12/11—@ SACW136-105+31132.3101.8+30.5102.5
12/7—@ CHAW115-106+9117.7109.0+8.797.5
12/5—@ ATLW134-133+1127.4129.1-1.7104.6
12/3—@ INDW135-120+15135.8122.7+13.098.6
12/1—vs DALL121-131-10118.7128.2-9.5101.6
11/29—@ PHXW130-112+18142.5117.4+25.194.1
11/28—vs SASL136-139-3128.1133.6-5.5104.7
11/24—@ MEMW125-115+10128.7115.5+13.298.4
11/22—vs SACL123-128-5118.1130.5-12.3100.7
11/21—@ HOUW112-109+3123.2111.5+11.894.7
11/19—@ NOPW125-118+7118.1110.7+7.4106.3
11/17—vs CHIL127-130-3123.3122.2+1.1104.7
11/15—@ MINW123-112+11120.9108.6+12.3102.4
11/12—@ LACW130-116+14130.8121.6+9.197.8
11/11—@ SACW122-108+14128.6112.4+16.295.9
11/8—vs INDW117-100+17112.496.2+16.2103.6
11/7—vs GSWW129-104+25137.2107.7+29.694.9
11/5—vs MIAW122-112+10112.6105.7+7.0106.7
11/3—vs SACW130-124+6122.0114.8+7.2107.7
10/31—@ PORL107-109-2108.5108.3+0.299.6
10/29—vs NOPW122-88+34125.690.0+35.597.1
10/27—@ MINW127-114+13125.7108.8+16.9104.2
10/25—vs PHXW133-111+22123.7106.0+17.7105.6
10/23—@ GSWL131-137-6122.2126.9-4.697.4
88 games · 56-32

Game odds

Every book's line for this game, side by side — we show the line, not a side. The best price per row is highlighted in electric blue.

First Round · Game 6Thu Apr 30 · 9:30 PM ET
MINMinnesota Timberwolves
@
DENDenver Nuggets
Target Center
Spread2-4 against the spread in the playoffs
Open Line
MIN +5.5-106
DEN -5.5-115
Consensus
MIN +7.5-113
DEN -7.5-107
DraftKings
MIN +7.5-112
DEN -7.5-108
FanDuel
MIN +7.5-114
DEN -7.5-106
BetMGM
MIN +7.5-115
DEN -7.5-105
Caesars
MIN +7.5-110
DEN -7.5-110
BetRivers
MIN +7.0-110
DEN -7.0-113
Fanatics
MIN +7.5-110
DEN -7.5-110
ESPN BET
MIN +6.5-101
DEN -6.5-112
bet365
MIN +7.0-110
DEN -7.0-110
Hard Rock Bet
MIN +7.5-115
DEN -7.5-105
Bovada
MIN +7.0-110
DEN -7.0-110
Kalshi
MIN +6.5+113
DEN -6.5-117

Odds are current market figures shown for research, not predictions or recommendations. Nuvela does not advise which side to take. 21+ · Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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