Running Back · San Francisco 49ers
Injury status: Questionable
Running Back · San Francisco 49ers
Injury status: Questionable(AI summary of news and injury feeds · Updated 7h ago)
Latest on Christian McCaffrey — Injury: Questionable.
Christian McCaffrey commands an elite 81% share of team RB opportunities, ensuring he remains the focal point of the offense.
His dominant 91% share of team inside-10 RB touches provides the highest possible floor for consistent weekly touchdown production.
With 87% route participation, he functions as a primary receiver, maintaining a massive 23% target share within the passing attack.
Despite recent metrics, his 413 total touches last season prove he can handle a workload that few other players manage.
Projects as RB7 in PPG while being drafted as RB3.
At age 30, Christian McCaffrey faces significant concerns regarding whether his massive 413 total touches can be sustained again.
His history shows 13 games missed over last two seasons, highlighting a persistent availability risk that threatens his season-long value.
A 3.9 yards per carry average and -10.0 rush yards over expected per game suggest his individual efficiency is rapidly declining.
His 1% breakaway run rate and 1.5 yards after contact per attempt indicate he no longer generates explosive plays independently.
Brian Robinson maintains a 17% backup's snap share, creating a role-fragility risk if the team decides to shift their offensive approach.
Draft Christian McCaffrey as a high-risk RB7. The current market price is too high given the clear decline in his efficiency metrics. Draft him only if he falls to your RB7 spot, accepting that his physical durability is a major gamble.
15.4PPG
Projects for 15.4 PPG at RB in PPR scoring.
24.8PPG
RB 1 - Where he landed last season
| Fantasy | Rushing | Receiving | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YR | TM | FPTS | G | FIN | ATT | YDS | Y/A | TD | TGT | REC | YDS | Y/R | TD |
| ’25 | SF | 422.1 (elite) | 17 | #1 (elite) | 311 (elite) | 1202 (elite) | 3.9 (below average) | 10 (elite) | 129 (elite) | 102 (elite) | 924 (elite) | 9.1 (elite) | 7 (elite) |
| ’24 | SF | 47.8 (below average) | 4 | #70 (solid) | 50 (below average) | 202 (below average) | 4.0 (solid) | 0 (below average) | 19 (solid) | 15 (solid) | 146 (solid) | 9.7 (elite) | 0 (below average) |
| ’23 | SF | 395.3 (elite) | 16 | #1 (elite) | 272 (elite) | 1459 (elite) | 5.4 (elite) | 14 (elite) | 83 (elite) | 67 (elite) | 564 (elite) | 8.4 (elite) | 7 (elite) |
Route Participation
2025 Result
87%
2026 Outlook
Elite usage. He runs routes on 87% of team pass plays, ranking in the top 2% of all running backs.
Target Share %
2025 Result
23%
2026 Outlook
Passing game anchor. With a 23% target share, he is the top 1% of running backs in pass-catching involvement.
Opportunity Share
2025 Result
81%
2026 Outlook
Workhorse role. He handles 81% of team running back opportunities, placing him in the top 2% of the league.
Snap Share
2025 Result
83%
2026 Outlook
Every-down back. He is on the field for 83% of snaps, which is in the top 1% of all running backs.
Red Zone / Goal-Line Touch Share
2025 Result
86% share (107 RZ touches)
2026 Outlook
Red zone king. He dominates scoring chances with an 86% red zone touch share and 21 goal line carries.
Yards Created (After Contact)
2025 Result
39% of rush yards
Context
Contact struggles. He averages 1.5 yards after contact per attempt, ranking in the top 92% of running backs.
Juke Rate / Evaded Tackles
2025 Result
3% broken-tackle rate
Context
Limited elusiveness. With a 3% broken tackle rate, he ranks in the top 88% of running backs.
Rush Yards Over Expected
2025 Result
-10.0/g
Context
Efficiency concerns. He averages -10.0 rush yards over expected per game with a 39% success rate.
Breakaway / Outside Run Rate
2025 Result
32% outside · 1% breakaway (20+ yds)
Context
Run style. He runs outside on 32% of his carries, though his breakaway run rate is only 1%.
Rushing TDs
2025 Result
10
Context
Scoring machine. He scored 10 rushing touchdowns while handling 38 carries inside the 10-yard line.
Yards Per Carry (YPC)
2025 Result
3.86
Context
Efficiency dip. His 3.86 yards per carry on 337 attempts places him in the top 74% of running backs.
Internal Competition / Vacated Carries
Status
92 vacated carries
Simple Impact
Clear backfield. With 92 vacated carries and Isaac Guerendo at 0%, he faces no internal competition for touches.
Scheme & Pace
Status
60% pass rate · -0.6% PROE · 62.6 plays/g
Simple Impact
Balanced offense. The team maintains a 60% pass rate and averages 62.6 plays per game.
Availability & Injury Risk
Status
21 of 34 games over 2024–25
Simple Impact
Availability risk. He has played in 21 of 34 possible games over the 2024–25 period.
Drafting after RB7? These are the next backs in line.
Pick any player to see how he stacks up side by side.
Christian McCaffrey
This player · RB7
Breece Hall
RB · NYJ · RB 13
Christian grades out ahead
Christian leads 4; Breece leads 0.
Pick any player to see how he stacks up side by side.
Christian grades out ahead
Christian leads 4; Breece leads 0.
He's our RB7. Here's the run of backs going around him.
Nuvela is owned and operated by Sit or Start AI, Inc. and is intended for users 21 and older. It is an AI-powered research tool and does not accept bets, operate as a sportsbook, or have any affiliation with sportsbooks, daily fantasy operators, or gambling platforms.
All content is for research and entertainment purposes only.
Users should independently verify all stats, lines, and information before making any decisions based on it.
Gambling involves risk and can be addictive.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Available 24/7.
Copyright © 2026 Sit or Start AI, Inc. All rights reserved. Nuvela.ai is a product of Sit or Start AI, Inc.
