Nacua
WR · LA vs LAC
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points21.6pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
A.J. Brown or Puka Nacua: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Puka Nacua over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +9.3pts
- over Brown if he plays
- Confidence
- High
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Puka Nacua or a bigger role for A.J. Brown.
Risk
A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
NacuaStartWR · LA vs LACUsually 22.7−1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.74 touchdowns, above his usual 0.60.
- 31%targetsHe draws 31% of his team’s targets.
- 12.4per gameHe sees 12.4 targets a game.
- 13.0floorA quiet week still projects to about 13.0 points.
Hurts him
- −1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 7.5 catches, below his usual 9.0.
- −0.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 92.0 receiving yards, below his usual 97.0.
- 4th softestper targetEdgeLAC allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (1.84 pts, 4th softest).
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionNacua: 21.6 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionNacua: 4.4 (best)Brown: 2.9
Expected TDsthis weekNacua: 0.74 (best)Brown: 0.49
Projected team pointsNacua: 25.8 (best)Brown: 25.0
Goal line carriesper gameNacua: 0.2 (best)Brown: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameNacua: 0.6 (best)Brown: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameNacua: 1.4 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareNacua: 84% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsNacua: 21.9 (best)Brown: 11.7
Touch shareNacua: 18% (best)Brown: 6%
Target shareNacua: 31% (best)Brown: 22%
Touches / gameNacua: 10.0 (best)Brown: 3.0
Targets / gameNacua: 12.4 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareNacua: 40% (best)Brown: 36%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsNacua: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRNacua: 0.76 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareNacua: 27%Brown: 30% (best)
Catch rateNacua: 73% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationNacua: 3.4 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedNacua: +1.9 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredNacua: Earned by usage 21.9Scored 22.7Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Rush yards / gameNacua: 4.2 (best)Brown: 0.0
Points from rushingNacua: 7%Brown: 0%
Vacated targets this weekNacua: 12.2 (best)Brown: 9.0
High value touches / gameNacua: 9.2 (best)Brown: 3.0
Goal line carry shareNacua: 9%Brown: Team had none
Red zone touches / gameNacua: 2.0 (best)Brown: 1.0
Rush success rateNacua: 60%Brown: 0 carries
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Nacua: 0%Brown: 0 carries
Inside 10 target shareNacua: 25% (best)Brown: 17%
Rushing points / gameNacua: 1.6 pts / game (best)Brown: 0.0 pts / game
Rushing floorNacua: 0.5 pts / game (best)Brown: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorNacua: 13.0 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingNacua: 33.6 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerNacua: 16%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Nacua: 60%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterNacua: 0%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessNacua: Very steady±10.4 pts · 5 gamesBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmNacua: C+ (best)Brown: D-
Game scriptNacua: Expected to leadBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterNacua: 1.7Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelNacua: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedNacua: 7th (tough)Brown: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBNacua: Stafford (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
WeatherNacua: IndoorsBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceNacua: DometurfBrown: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleNacua: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceNacua: 15th (average) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Nacua: 2.0Brown: 2.0
Opp catch rate allowedNacua: 69%30th (soft)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedNacua: 21st (average) (best)Brown: 16th (average)
Opp stuff rateNacua: 16% (best)21st (average)Brown: 18%15th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedNacua: 4.220th (average)Brown: 4.3 (best)21st (average)
Form
Last 3 avgNacua: 24.5 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgNacua: 22.7 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonNacua: +1.8 (Rising) (best)Brown: Rising
Yards per carryNacua: 4.2Brown: 0 carries
Carries / gameNacua: 1.0 (best)Brown: 0.0
Yards per route runNacua: 2.89 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTNacua: 8.9Brown: 13.4
Target share trendNacua: SteadyBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesNacua: 100% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterNacua: WR2 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingNacua: 92.0 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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