RBMIN vs MIARB922.8 projected (9.6–26.4)PPR
Should I start Aaron Jones in Week 4?
Start Aaron Jones in Week 4. Jones projects 22.8 PPR points to Josh Jacobs's 14.8.
Measured against the RB24 start line: Josh Jacobs, RB25 at 14.8 projected PPR points, the first running back below it.
Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET
Why Aaron Jones
Start Aaron Jones — projects 22.8, a run-funnel matchup vs MIA.
Aaron Jones projects 22.8 points on a 9.6–26.4 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against MIA. Usage: carries / game at 11.0. Net: Aaron Jones is start this week.
Working for Jones: Clear start (8.0 pts clear), Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB), Positive game script (Favored).
Working against Jones: Committee back (23% of touches).
Matchup
Aaron Jones (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.
Recent form
Aaron Jones's last 5 games: PPR points 11.3, 15.3, 10, 10.5, 14.2 (oldest to newest).
At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.
What flips it
Jones's edge is 8 points (22.8 to 14.8). Jones's floor (9.6) sits under Jacobs's projection, so a quiet game from Jones flips it. Confidence in the call: high.
Compare Aaron Jones with…
The players closest to Aaron Jonesin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.