Douglas
WR · NE vs CHI
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points5.3pts
projected 9.1
Mitchell
WR · NYJ vs MIA
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Full · finger
Projected points6.4pts
DeMario Douglas or Adonai Mitchell: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ETWhat moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week
—
- Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.27 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.−1.4 pts
- Everything else+0.6 pts
Usually scores 9.9 → projected 9.1−0.8 pts
Also worth knowing
- His last three games run 5.3 points above his season average.
- He sees only 5.0 targets a game.
- He plays only 54% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week
—
- Hurts him: His lines put him at 25.5 receiving yards, below his usual 35.9.−1.0 pts
- Everything else−1.4 pts
Usually scores 8.8 → projected 6.4−2.4 pts
Also worth knowing
- EdgeMIA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
- A quiet week could drop to about 3.7 points.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDouglas: 9.1 (best)Mitchell: 6.4
TD pointsof the projectionDouglas: 1.6 (best)Mitchell: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekDouglas: 0.27 (best)Mitchell: 0.22
Projected team pointsDouglas: 23.8 (best)Mitchell: 22.0
Red zone targetsper gameDouglas: 0.7 (best)Mitchell: 0.5
Role
Snap shareDouglas: 54%Mitchell: 76% (best)
Usage worthptsDouglas: 8.8Mitchell: 13.0 (best)
Target shareDouglas: 17%Mitchell: 23% (best)
Targets / gameDouglas: 5.0Mitchell: 7.5 (best)
Air yards shareDouglas: 19%Mitchell: 58% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDouglas: AboveMitchell: 1 RZ target
WOPRDouglas: 0.38Mitchell: 0.72 (best)
RZ target shareDouglas: 13%Mitchell: 17% (best)
Catch rateDouglas: 67% (best)Mitchell: 60%
SeparationDouglas: 3.9 yds (best)Mitchell: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedDouglas: +0.9 (best)Mitchell: −0.1
Usage worth vs scoredDouglas: Earned by usage 8.8Scored 9.9Mitchell: Earned by usage 13.0Scored 10.7
Vacated targets this weekDouglas: 9.0 (best)Mitchell: 0.5
Inside 10 target shareDouglas: 15% (best)Mitchell: 0%
Range
FloorDouglas: 4.5 (best)Mitchell: 3.7
CeilingDouglas: 16.5 (best)Mitchell: 11.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDouglas: 30%Mitchell: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Douglas: 17% (best)Mitchell: 7%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDouglas: 50%Mitchell: 33% (best)
SteadinessDouglas: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 gamesMitchell: Up & down (best)±6.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDouglas: B- (best)2026, 6 gmMitchell: D-2026, 5 gm
Game scriptDouglas: Expected to trailMitchell: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDouglas: 1.5Mitchell: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelDouglas: NeutralMitchell: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDouglas: 15th (average) (best)Mitchell: 12th (average)
Starting QBDouglas: Maye (Active)Mitchell: Smith (Active)
Opp defender outDouglas: Edwards (LB)Mitchell: None listed
Roof / surfaceDouglas: OpenMitchell: Openturf
Rest / scheduleDouglas: Short week (4d)Mitchell: Normal
Opp paceDouglas: 1st (fast) (best)Mitchell: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDouglas: 3.5 (best)24th (soft)Mitchell: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedDouglas: 60%13th (average)Mitchell: 73% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgDouglas: 15.2Mitchell: 2 games
Last 5 avgDouglas: 10.5Mitchell: 2 games
vs seasonDouglas: +5.3 (Rising) (best)Mitchell: 0.0
Yards per route runDouglas: 1.74Mitchell: 2.24 (best)
Receiving aDOTDouglas: 10.9Mitchell: 15.8
Target share trendDouglas: RisingMitchell: 2 games
Games since injuryDouglas: None recentlyMitchell: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesDouglas: 68%Mitchell: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDouglas: WR40 (best)Mitchell: WR59
Yards linereceivingDouglas: 38.5 (best)Mitchell: 25.5
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.