Douglas
WR · NE vs CHI
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points5.3pts
projected 9.1
Armstrong
WR · KC vs SEA
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points8.5ptsUsage estimate
DeMario Douglas or Andrew Armstrong: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ETWhat moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week
—
- Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.27 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.−1.4 pts
- Everything else+0.6 pts
Usually scores 9.9 → projected 9.1−0.8 pts
Also worth knowing
- His last three games run 5.3 points above his season average.
- He sees only 5.0 targets a game.
- He plays only 54% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week
—
Also worth knowing
- EdgeWith Rice out, more targets should come his way this week.
- He sees only 2.0 targets a game.
- EdgeSEA is the 3rd toughest defense for receivers.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDouglas: 9.1 (best)Armstrong: 8.5
TD pointsof the projectionDouglas: 1.6Armstrong: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekDouglas: 0.27Armstrong: Our estimate
Projected team pointsDouglas: 23.8 (best)Armstrong: 19.8
Red zone targetsper gameDouglas: 0.7Armstrong: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareDouglas: 54%Armstrong: 69% (best)
Usage worthptsDouglas: 8.8 (best)Armstrong: 4.2
Target shareDouglas: 17% (best)Armstrong: 7%
Targets / gameDouglas: 5.0 (best)Armstrong: 2.0
Air yards shareDouglas: 19% (best)Armstrong: 12%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDouglas: AboveArmstrong: 1 RZ target
WOPRDouglas: 0.38 (best)Armstrong: 0.19
RZ target shareDouglas: 13%Armstrong: 20% (best)
Catch rateDouglas: 67%Armstrong: 2 targets
SeparationDouglas: 3.9 ydsArmstrong: Not tracked
YAC over expectedDouglas: +0.9Armstrong: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredDouglas: Earned by usage 8.8Scored 9.9Armstrong: Earned by usage 4.2Scored 2.3
Vacated targets this weekDouglas: 9.0Armstrong: 9.4 (best)
Inside 10 target shareDouglas: 15%Armstrong: 33% (best)
Range
FloorDouglas: 4.5Armstrong: 4.7 (best)
CeilingDouglas: 16.5 (best)Armstrong: 14.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDouglas: 30%Armstrong: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Douglas: 17%Armstrong: 1 game
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDouglas: 50%Armstrong: 1 game
SteadinessDouglas: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 gamesArmstrong: 1 game
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmDouglas: B- (best)Armstrong: D-
Game scriptDouglas: Expected to trailArmstrong: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDouglas: 1.5 (best)Armstrong: 1.8
Defense funnelDouglas: NeutralArmstrong: Run
Opp pass yds allowedDouglas: 15th (average) (best)Armstrong: 1st (tough)
Starting QBDouglas: Maye (Active)Armstrong: Mahomes (Active)
Opp defender outDouglas: Edwards (LB)Armstrong: Thomas (LB)
Roof / surfaceDouglas: OpenArmstrong: Openturf
Rest / scheduleDouglas: Short week (4d)Armstrong: Normal
Opp paceDouglas: 1st (fast) (best)Armstrong: 13th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDouglas: 3.5 (best)24th (soft)Armstrong: 3.013th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedDouglas: 60% (best)13th (average)Armstrong: 58%9th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgDouglas: 15.2Armstrong: 1 game
Last 5 avgDouglas: 10.5Armstrong: 1 game
vs seasonDouglas: +5.3 (Rising) (best)Armstrong: 0.0
Yards per route runDouglas: 1.74 (best)Armstrong: 0.68
Receiving aDOTDouglas: 10.9Armstrong: 2 targets
Target share trendDouglas: RisingArmstrong: 1 game
Crowd
Started in leaguesDouglas: 68%Armstrong: No start data
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDouglas: WR40 (best)Armstrong: WR42
Yards linereceivingDouglas: 38.5Armstrong: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.