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Week8 · 2026
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Scoring
New comparison
Start · check inactives

Waddle

WR · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest

Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate

9.6 if he plays · 80% to play

If he sits

Williams

WR · WAS vs PHI

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET

Projected points8.7pts

Start · check inactives

Bench

Antonio Williams or Jaylen Waddle: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start Jaylen Waddle. If he's inactive, start Antonio Williams.

Ahead by
+0.9pts
over Williams if he plays
Confidence
Depends on inactives
Jaylen Waddle may not play (about 80% to play)
Started
43%
of leagues

Waddle's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

If Jaylen Waddle is inactive, start Antonio Williams.

Risk

Jaylen Waddle was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Antonio Williams. As of Fri 10:00 AM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 10:00 AM ET
WaddleStart · check inactivesWR · DEN vs KCUsually 9.1−1.4pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.9 points off his projection.
  2. −0.9ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
  3. KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
  4. 66%snapsHe plays only 66% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
WilliamsIf he sitsWR · WAS vs PHIUsually 7.4+1.3pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.2pts2 linesTouchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.17) and catches 3.5 (usual 3.0) both sit above his usual.
  2. PHIvs WRsEdgePHI is the 8th softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

  1. 2ndlowest totalEdgeHe plays in the 2nd lowest scoring game on the slate.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWaddle: 7.7Williams: 8.7 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionWaddle: Our estimateWilliams: 1.7
Expected TDsthis weekWaddle: Our estimateWilliams: 0.28
Projected team pointsWaddle: 19.8Williams: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWaddle: 0.7 (best)Williams: 0.3
Role
Snap shareWaddle: 66% (best)Williams: 55%
Usage worthptsWaddle: 10.9 (best)Williams: 7.3
Target shareWaddle: 23% (best)Williams: 14%
Targets / gameWaddle: 6.4 (best)Williams: 4.3
Air yards shareWaddle: 37% (best)Williams: 18%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWaddle: In lineWilliams: 2 RZ targets
WOPRWaddle: 0.60 (best)Williams: 0.32
RZ target shareWaddle: 15% (best)Williams: 10%
Catch rateWaddle: 58%Williams: 69% (best)
SeparationWaddle: 3.7 yds (best)Williams: 2.2 yds
YAC over expectedWaddle: +0.5 (best)Williams: −0.8
Usage worth vs scoredWaddle: Earned by usage 10.9Scored 9.1Williams: Earned by usage 7.3Scored 7.4
Vacated targets this weekWaddle: 3.0Williams: 5.9 (best)
Inside 10 target shareWaddle: 0%Williams: 8% (best)
Range
FloorWaddle: 4.7Williams: 5.4 (best)
CeilingWaddle: 12.8Williams: 13.3 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWaddle: 9%Williams: 14%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Waddle: 14% (best)Williams: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWaddle: 57% (best)Williams: 67%
SteadinessWaddle: Up & down±6.9 pts · 7 gamesWilliams: Steady (best)±4.6 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWaddle: D2026, 6 gmWilliams: B (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptWaddle: Expected to trailWilliams: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWaddle: 1.7Williams: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelWaddle: NeutralWilliams: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWaddle: 12th (average)Williams: 24th (soft) (best)
Starting QBWaddle: Nix (Active)Williams: Daniels (Active)
Opp defender outWaddle: Norman-Lott (DT)Williams: None listed
Roof / surfacegrassWaddle: OpenWilliams: Open
Rest / scheduleWaddle: NormalWilliams: Off a bye
Opp paceWaddle: 24th (slow) (best)Williams: 27th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWaddle: 3.217th (average)Williams: 3.3 (best)19th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedWaddle: 57%5th (tough)Williams: 59% (best)10th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWaddle: 6.7 (best)Williams: 6.4
Last 5 avgWaddle: 8.2 (best)Williams: 5.6
vs seasonWaddle: −2.5 (Cooling)Williams: −1.0 (Cooling) (best)
Yards per route runWaddle: 1.62Williams: 1.74 (best)
Receiving aDOTWaddle: 10.1Williams: 11.7
Target share trendWaddle: SteadyWilliams: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesWaddle: 43% (best)Williams: 41%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWaddle: WR49Williams: WR45 (best)
Yards linereceivingWaddle: Our estimateWilliams: 35.0

Deciding on someone else?

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