Williams
WR · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points8.7pts
Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Lean
Bench
Antonio Williams or Caleb Douglas: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Antonio Williams over Caleb Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +1.1pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 41%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Caleb Douglas instead if you want more of the snaps (82% to 55%).
Risk
Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
WilliamsLeanWR · WAS vs PHIUsually 7.4+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2pts2 linesTouchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.17) and catches 3.5 (usual 3.0) both sit above his usual.
- PHIvs WRsEdgePHI is the 8th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- 2ndlowest totalEdgeHe plays in the 2nd lowest scoring game on the slate.
DouglasFirst outWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 8.7 (best)Douglas: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 1.7 (best)Douglas: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekWilliams: 0.28 (best)Douglas: 0.21
Projected team pointsWilliams: 23.0 (best)Douglas: 18.0
Red zone targetsper gameWilliams: 0.3Douglas: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 55%Douglas: 82% (best)
Usage worthptsWilliams: 7.3Douglas: 7.5 (best)
Target shareWilliams: 14%Douglas: 18% (best)
Targets / gameWilliams: 4.3Douglas: 4.3
Air yards shareWilliams: 18%Douglas: 23% (best)
WOPRWilliams: 0.32Douglas: 0.42 (best)
RZ target shareWilliams: 10%Douglas: 50% (best)
Catch rateWilliams: 69%Douglas: 69%
SeparationWilliams: 2.2 ydsDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWilliams: −0.8Douglas: +0.8 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWilliams: Earned by usage 7.3Scored 7.4Douglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1
Vacated targets this weekWilliams: 5.9 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareWilliams: 8%Douglas: 100% (best)
Range
FloorWilliams: 5.4 (best)Douglas: 4.2
CeilingWilliams: 13.3 (best)Douglas: 12.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 14%Douglas: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Williams: 0%Douglas: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 67%Douglas: 3 games
SteadinessWilliams: Steady±4.6 pts · 6 gamesDouglas: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilliams: B (best)Douglas: C+
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to lead (best)Douglas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 0.4 (best)Douglas: 1.0
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 24th (soft) (best)Douglas: 19th (average)
Starting QBWilliams: Daniels (Active)Douglas: Willis (Active)
WeatherWilliams: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassWilliams: OpenDouglas: Open
Rest / scheduleWilliams: Off a byeDouglas: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 27th (slow)Douglas: 16th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 59%10th (tough)Douglas: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 6.4Douglas: 13.1 (best)
Last 5 avgWilliams: 5.6Douglas: 13.1 (best)
vs seasonWilliams: −1.0 (Cooling)Douglas: Rising (best)
Yards per route runWilliams: 1.74Douglas: 2.86 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilliams: 11.7Douglas: 10.5
Target share trendWilliams: CoolingDouglas: Steady
Games since injuryWilliams: None recentlyDouglas: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 41%Douglas: 61% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: WR43 (best)Douglas: WR51
Yards linereceivingWilliams: 35.0Douglas: 37.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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