Allen
WR · IND vs WAS
QuestionableProj pts
6.5pts
market
Williams
WR · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
6.2pts
market
Antonio Williams or Keenan Allen: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Keenan Allen over Antonio Williams by 0.3. Keenan Allen leads at 6.5. Antonio Williams is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Crowd: 44% of managers started Allen.
Availability & news
Keenan AllenQuestionable · Practice: Limited
Allen was a limited participant in Thursday's practice due to a groin injury.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
Cons
- Rotational snaps56% of snaps
- Shaky floor4.1 floor
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs WR
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Allen 17, Williams 2.
Allen (Questionable · Practice: Limited): “Allen was a limited participant in Thursday's practice due to a groin injury.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Allen 18.3 (PPR points).
Why Keenan Allen
Start Keenan Allen — projects 6.5, a favorable matchup vs WAS.
Keenan Allen projects 6.5 points on a 4.1–10.2 range. The matchup grades as favorable against WAS. Usage: targets / game at 7.2. Net: start Keenan Allen this week.
Working for Allen: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR).
Working against Allen: Rotational snaps (56% of snaps), Shaky floor (4.1 floor).
Where Allen leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.5 vs 6.2); Target share (22% vs 12%); Implied team total (26.0 vs 22.5); Last 3 avg (9.7 vs 8.4); Last 5 avg (8.5 vs 8.4); vs season (+0.3 vs +0.0); Consistency (41% vs 33%); Bust rate (18% vs 33%); Targets / game (7.2 vs 3.7); Snap share (56% vs 42%); Red zone targets (17 vs 2).
Why Antonio Williams
Sit Antonio Williams — projects 6.2, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Antonio Williams projects 6.2 points. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: bench Antonio Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs WR), Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.7 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs A-); Boom rate (33% vs 24%).
Recent form
Keenan Allen's last 5 games: PPR points 2.7, 10.6, 9.2, 1.5, 18.3 (oldest to newest).
Antonio Williams's last 3 games: PPR points 3.5, 5.4, 16.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Allen has already beaten Williams's 6.2 projection in 3 of his 5; Williams has beaten Allen's 6.5 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Keenan Allen (IND) faces WAS, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -3.5.
Antonio Williams (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)