Start Justin Herbert. Bench Baker Mayfield. Justin Herbert leads at 17.0. Baker Mayfield is the first one out, 0.9 short.

Crowd: started Herbert 85% · Mayfield 41%

Nuvela’s read

Justin Herbert projects 17.0 points on a 12.6–28.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: pass attempts / game at 32.0. Net: Justin Herbert is start this week.

Baker Mayfield projects 16.1 points on a 12.2–19.3 range. The matchup grades as favorable against CIN. Usage: pass attempts / game at 31.9. Net: Baker Mayfield is a bench this week.

What flips it: Sit Baker Mayfield — projects 16.1, a favorable matchup vs CIN, with a rising role.

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Week 1 hasn’t kicked off — recent form, opportunity and matchup are based on the 2025 season, and update as the season is played.

	HerbertStart	MayfieldBen
Projection (median)	17.0	16.1
Floor	12.6	12.2
Ceiling	28.2	19.3
Pass attempts	32.0	31.9
Matchup grade (recency weighted)	B-	B+
Implied team total	28.5	23.5

History

Recents

Start Justin Herbert. Bench Baker Mayfield. Justin Herbert leads at 17.0. Baker Mayfield is the first one out, 0.9 short.

Start Justin Herbert. Bench Baker Mayfield. Justin Herbert leads at 17.0. Baker Mayfield is the first one out, 0.9 short.