Herbert
QB · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points15.7pts
Mayfield
QB · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points16.2pts
Toss-up
Bench
Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Justin Herbert gets the nod over Baker Mayfield.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Mayfield
The case for Mayfield is an offense expected to score more (23.0 points to 19.3) and fewer interceptions (1.9% of his throws to 4.4%).
Flips if
Start Baker Mayfield instead if you need a safe week: he has a safer floor (13.8 to 11.3).
Risk
Baker Mayfield has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. Weather in Baker Mayfield's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
HerbertToss-upQB · LAC @ LAUsually 10.4+5.3pts this week
Helps him
- +2.7ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.83.
- +1.0ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
- +0.7ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 206.5 passing yards, above his usual 190.2.
- 25.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.2 points.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 28.0.
- 19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
- 11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.
MayfieldFirst outQB · TB vs ATLUsually 10.4+5.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.75.
- +1.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 216.5 passing yards, above his usual 169.8.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.25.
- 9th toughestper passEdgeATL allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.48 pts, 9th toughest).
- 33%pressureEdgeThe ATL pass rush gets pressure on 33% of dropbacks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionHerbert: 15.7Mayfield: 16.2 (best)
Rush TD pointsof the projectionHerbert: 1.0Mayfield: 1.0
Rush TDs expectedthis weekHerbert: 0.17Mayfield: 0.17
Projected team pointsHerbert: 19.3Mayfield: 23.0 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameHerbert: 0.3Mayfield: 0.3
Red zone carriesper gameHerbert: 0.8Mayfield: 1.5 (best)
Pass attempts / gameHerbert: 30.0 (best)Mayfield: 26.8
Role
Snap shareHerbert: 100% (best)Mayfield: 96%
Touch shareHerbert: 11% (best)Mayfield: 7%
Touches / gameHerbert: 4.8 (best)Mayfield: 3.0
Yards per attemptHerbert: 6.3Mayfield: 6.3
Pass TD rateHerbert: 3%Mayfield: 3%
Rush yards / gameHerbert: 28.0 (best)Mayfield: 16.5
Points from rushingHerbert: 27%Mayfield: 30%
Rushing points / gameHerbert: 2.8 pts / gameMayfield: 3.2 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorHerbert: 2.7 pts / game (best)Mayfield: 1.7 pts / game
Designed runs / gameHerbert: 1.7 (best)Mayfield: 0.5
Scrambles / gameHerbert: 3.2 (best)Mayfield: 2.3
Dropbacks / gameHerbert: 36.5 (best)Mayfield: 32.3
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameHerbert: 0.3Mayfield: 0.3
Sacks per dropbackHerbert: 10%Mayfield: 10%
INT rateHerbert: 4.4%Mayfield: 1.9% (best)
Pass aDOTHerbert: 7.8Mayfield: 8.2
High value touches / gameHerbert: 0.7 (best)Mayfield: 0.5
Goal line carry shareHerbert: 33% (best)Mayfield: 20%
Red zone touches / gameHerbert: 1.0Mayfield: 1.5 (best)
Rush success rateHerbert: 45%Mayfield: 73% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Herbert: 6.9% (best)Mayfield: 0%
Range
FloorHerbert: 11.3Mayfield: 13.8 (best)
CeilingHerbert: 25.2 (best)Mayfield: 23.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerHerbert: 0%Mayfield: 14%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Herbert: 16% (best)Mayfield: 0%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterHerbert: 48% (best)Mayfield: 54%
SteadinessHerbert: Steady±7.4 ptsMayfield: Very steady (best)±4.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmHerbert: CMayfield: C
Game scriptHerbert: Expected to trailMayfield: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterHerbert: 0.9 (best)Mayfield: 1.3
Defense funnelHerbert: NeutralMayfield: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedHerbert: 4th (tough)Mayfield: 29th (soft) (best)
Opp sacks / gameHerbert: 1.4 (best)Mayfield: 2.4
Opp defender outHerbert: Garrett (LB)Mayfield: None listed
WeatherHerbert: IndoorsMayfield: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceHerbert: DometurfMayfield: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleHerbert: Off a byeMayfield: Normal
Opp paceHerbert: 3rd (fast) (best)Mayfield: 21st (average)
Opp pressure rateHerbert: 17% (best)29th (soft)Mayfield: 33%3rd (tough)
Pressure facedHerbert: 25%Mayfield: 23% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedHerbert: 18th (average) (best)Mayfield: 4th (tough)
Opp stuff rateHerbert: 18% (best)12th (average)Mayfield: 20%8th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedHerbert: 4.2 (best)13th (average)Mayfield: 4.010th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameHerbert: 2.97th (tough)Mayfield: 5.0 (best)29th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedHerbert: 60%2nd (tough)Mayfield: 69% (best)20th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgHerbert: 9.5Mayfield: 10.0 (best)
Last 5 avgHerbert: 9.8Mayfield: 10.4 (best)
vs seasonHerbert: −0.9 (Cooling)Mayfield: −0.4 (best)
Yards per carryHerbert: 5.8 (best)Mayfield: 5.5
Carries / gameHerbert: 4.8 (best)Mayfield: 3.0
Pass volume trendHerbert: SteadyMayfield: Steady
Games since injuryHerbert: None recentlyMayfield: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesHerbert: Not widely startedMayfield: 39%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterHerbert: QB17Mayfield: QB14 (best)
Yards linepassingHerbert: 206.5Mayfield: 216.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.