New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

Pass TD

New comparison

Toss-up

Penix

QB · ATL @ TB

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points15.1pts

First out

Herbert

QB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points15.7pts

Toss-up

Bench

Justin Herbert or Michael Penix Jr.: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Need a safe week? Michael Penix Jr. Swinging for a big week? Justin Herbert.

Confidence: Lower; Toss-up
Started: 38%; of leagues

Case for Herbert

Penix has the safer floor (11.9 to 11.3); Herbert has more upside (a ceiling of 25.2 to 21.6).

Flips if

If the weather in Michael Penix Jr.'s game turns worse, start Justin Herbert.

Risk

Weather in Michael Penix Jr.'s game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

PenixToss-upQB · ATL @ TBUsually 16.9−1.9pts this week

Helps him

+0.5ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.08 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.

Hurts him

−1.2ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.80.
TBvs QBsEdgeTB is the 5th toughest defense for quarterbacks.
11.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.9 points.

HerbertFirst outQB · LAC @ LAUsually 10.4+5.3pts this week

Helps him

+2.7ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.83.
+1.0ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
+0.7ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 206.5 passing yards, above his usual 190.2.
25.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.2 points.

Hurts him

−0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 28.0.
19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection15.115.7

Rush TD pointsof the projection0.51.0

Rush TDs expectedthis week0.080.17

Projected team points20.519.3

Goal line carriesper game0.00.3

Red zone carriesper game0.20.8

Pass attempts / game28.830.0

Role

Snap share99%100%

Touch share5%11%

Touches / game2.44.8

Yards per attempt8.06.3

Pass TD rate6%3%

Rush yards / game0.828.0

Points from rushing0.5%27%

Rushing points / game0.1 pts / game2.8 pts / game

Rushing floor0.1 pts / game2.7 pts / game

Designed runs / game0.21.7

Scrambles / game0.83.2

Dropbacks / game31.836.5

Designed runs inside the 10 / game0.00.3

Sacks per dropback6%10%

INT rate0.7%4.4%

Pass aDOT7.17.8

High value touches / game0.00.7

Goal line carry share0%33%

Red zone touches / game0.21.0

Rush success rate0%45%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%6.9%

Range

Floor11.911.3

Ceiling21.625.2

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%0%

Big weeks (25+ pts)0%16%

Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is better20%48%

SteadinessVery steady±6.3 ptsSteady±7.4 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmD+C

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.70.9

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed14th (average)4th (tough)

Opp sacks / game2.31.4

WeatherOutdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainIndoors

Roof / surfaceOpengrassDometurf

Rest / scheduleNormalOff a bye

Opp pace14th (average)3rd (fast)

Opp pressure rate17%30th (soft)17%29th (soft)

Pressure faced13%25%

Opp rush yds allowed2nd (tough)18th (average)

Opp stuff rate19%9th (tough)18%12th (average)

Opp yards per carry allowed3.96th (tough)4.213th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game3.010th (tough)2.97th (tough)

Opp catch rate allowed68%19th (average)60%2nd (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg19.39.5

Last 5 avg16.99.8

vs season+2.4 (Rising)−0.9 (Cooling)

Yards per carry0.35.8

Carries / game2.44.8

Pass volume trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues38%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterQB19QB17

Yards linepassing227.5206.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?