New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

Pass TD

New comparison

Toss-up

Herbert

QB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points15.7pts

First out

Mahomes

QB · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points15.8pts

Toss-up

Bench

Justin Herbert or Patrick Mahomes: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Justin Herbert gets the nod over Patrick Mahomes.

Confidence: Lower; Toss-up

Case for Mahomes

The case for Mahomes is an offense expected to score more (20.8 points to 19.3) and fewer sacks (3% of his pass plays to 10%).

Flips if

Start Patrick Mahomes instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (26% of his games to 16%).

Risk

The risk: Herbert has been held under 12 points in 3 straight games.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

HerbertToss-upQB · LAC @ LAUsually 10.4+5.3pts this week

Helps him

+2.7ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.83.
+1.0ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
+0.7ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 206.5 passing yards, above his usual 190.2.
25.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.2 points.

Hurts him

−0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 28.0.
19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.

MahomesFirst outQB · KC @ DENUsually 16.7−0.8pts this week

Helps him

OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.

Hurts him

−0.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 223.5 passing yards, below his usual 245.7.
4th toughestper passEdgeDEN allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.40 pts, 4th toughest).
23%pressureEdgeThe DEN pass rush gets pressure on 23% of dropbacks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection15.715.8

Rush TD pointsof the projection1.00.9

Rush TDs expectedthis week0.170.15

Projected team points19.320.8

Goal line carriesper game0.30.0

Red zone carriesper game0.80.3

Pass attempts / game30.031.8

Role

Snap share100%100%

Touch share11%7%

Touches / game4.83.2

Yards per attempt6.37.7

Pass TD rate3%5%

Rush yards / game28.011.8

Points from rushing27%13%

Rushing points / game2.8 pts / game2.2 pts / game

Rushing floor2.7 pts / game1.7 pts / game

Designed runs / game1.70.2

Scrambles / game3.22.0

Dropbacks / game36.535.2

Designed runs inside the 10 / game0.30.0

Sacks per dropback10%3%

INT rate4.4%2.1%

Pass aDOT7.86.0

High value touches / game0.70.2

Goal line carry share33%0%

Red zone touches / game1.00.3

Rush success rate45%54%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)6.9%0%

Range

Floor11.311.6

Ceiling25.223.8

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%6%

Big weeks (25+ pts)16%26%

Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is better48%28%

SteadinessSteady±7.4 ptsVery steady±8.4 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmCC-

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.91.4

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed4th (tough)17th (average)

Opp sacks / game1.43.0

Opp defender outNone listedElliss (LB)

Roof / surfaceDometurfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleOff a byeNormal

Opp pace3rd (fast)30th (slow)

Opp pressure rate17%29th (soft)23%8th (tough)

Pressure faced25%24%

Opp rush yds allowed18th (average)28th (soft)

Opp stuff rate18%12th (average)18%14th (average)

Opp yards per carry allowed4.213th (average)4.724th (soft)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.97th (tough)3.715th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed60%2nd (tough)62%3rd (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg9.511.2

Last 5 avg9.815.7

vs season−0.9 (Cooling)−5.5 (Cooling)

Yards per carry5.83.7

Carries / game4.83.2

Pass volume trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leaguesNot widely started59%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterQB17QB15

Yards linepassing206.5223.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?