New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Lean

Williams

QB · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points17.7pts

First out

Nix

QB · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points15.8pts

Lean

Bench

Bo Nix or Caleb Williams: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Caleb Williams over Bo Nix.

Ahead by
+1.9pts
over Nix
Confidence
Moderate
Lean
Started
69%
of leagues

Flips if

Start Bo Nix instead if you want fewer sacks (4% of his pass plays to 8%).

Risk

Caleb Williams has played 2 games since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
WilliamsLeanQB · CHI @ SEAUsually 20.9−3.2pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.25.

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.19 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.50.
  2. −1.1ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 rushing yards, below his usual 32.0.
  3. −1.1ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 227.5 passing yards, below his usual 255.0.
  4. SEAvs QBsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for quarterbacks.
NixFirst outQB · DEN vs KCUsually 13.7+2.2pts this week

Helps him

  1. +2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.00.
  2. +1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 205.5 passing yards, above his usual 181.6.

Hurts him

  1. −0.7ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.29.
  2. 5th toughestper passEdgeKC allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.41 pts, 5th toughest).
  3. 10.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 10.6 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 17.7 (best)Nix: 15.8
Rush TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 1.1 (best)Nix: 1.0
Rush TDs expectedthis weekWilliams: 0.19 (best)Nix: 0.17
Projected team pointsWilliams: 21.8 (best)Nix: 19.8
Goal line carriesper gameWilliams: 0.3Nix: 0.4 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameWilliams: 1.5 (best)Nix: 0.7
Pass attempts / gameWilliams: 31.0Nix: 31.1 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 97%Nix: 100% (best)
Touch shareWilliams: 11% (best)Nix: 10%
Touches / gameWilliams: 6.0 (best)Nix: 4.1
Yards per attemptWilliams: 8.2 (best)Nix: 5.8
Pass TD rateWilliams: 4% (best)Nix: 3%
Rush yards / gameWilliams: 32.0 (best)Nix: 15.7
Points from rushingWilliams: 30%Nix: 24%
Rushing points / gameWilliams: 6.2 pts / game (best)Nix: 3.3 pts / game
Rushing floorWilliams: 3.3 pts / game (best)Nix: 1.8 pts / game
Designed runs / gameWilliams: 2.0Nix: 2.1 (best)
Scrambles / gameWilliams: 3.5 (best)Nix: 1.0
Dropbacks / gameWilliams: 37.5 (best)Nix: 33.7
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameWilliams: 0.8 (best)Nix: 0.6
Sacks per dropbackWilliams: 8%Nix: 4% (best)
INT rateWilliams: 0.8% (best)Nix: 1.4%
Pass aDOTWilliams: 7.0Nix: 5.7
High value touches / gameWilliams: 1.0 (best)Nix: 0.6
Goal line carry shareWilliams: 10%Nix: 23% (best)
Red zone touches / gameWilliams: 1.5 (best)Nix: 0.7
Rush success rateWilliams: 55% (best)Nix: 45%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Williams: 4.5%Nix: 4.5%
Range
FloorWilliams: 12.8 (best)Nix: 10.6
CeilingWilliams: 26.3 (best)Nix: 25.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 14%Nix: 13%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Williams: 21% (best)Nix: 13%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 29% (best)Nix: 35%
SteadinessWilliams: Steady (best)±10.1 ptsNix: Steady±7.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilliams: F2026, 7 gmNix: C- (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to trailNix: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 1.7Nix: 1.7
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralNix: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 1st (tough)Nix: 12th (average) (best)
Opp sacks / gameWilliams: 2.4Nix: 1.2 (best)
Opp defender outWilliams: None listedNix: Norman-Lott (DT)
Roof / surfaceWilliams: OpenturfNix: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilliams: 11 days restNix: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 9th (fast) (best)Nix: 24th (slow)
Opp pressure rateWilliams: 38%1st (tough)Nix: 19% (best)23rd (soft)
Pressure facedWilliams: 27%Nix: 22% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedWilliams: 6th (tough)Nix: 13th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateWilliams: 21%6th (tough)Nix: 18% (best)13th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowed2nd (tough)Williams: 3.6Nix: 3.6
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 3.010th (tough)Nix: 4.0 (best)20th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 66% (best)12th (average)Nix: 65%8th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 15.4 (best)Nix: 12.9
Last 5 avgWilliams: 20.9 (best)Nix: 15.3
vs seasonWilliams: −5.5Nix: −0.8 (Steady) (best)
Yards per carryWilliams: 5.3 (best)Nix: 3.8
Carries / gameWilliams: 6.0 (best)Nix: 4.1
Pass volume trendWilliams: SteadyNix: Steady
Games since injuryWilliams: 2Nix: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 70% (best)Nix: 43%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: QB6 (best)Nix: QB16
Yards linepassingWilliams: 227.5 (best)Nix: 205.5

Deciding on someone else?

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