QBCHI vs NYJQB717.7 projected (13.6–22.5)PPR
Should I start Caleb Williams in Week 4?
Start Caleb Williams in Week 4. Williams projects 17.7 PPR points to Patrick Mahomes's 17.0.
Measured against the QB12 start line: Patrick Mahomes, QB13 at 17.0 projected PPR points, the first quarterback below it.
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
Why Caleb Williams
Start Caleb Williams — projects 17.7, a favorable matchup vs NYJ.
Caleb Williams projects 17.7 points on a 13.6–22.5 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYJ. Usage: pass attempts / game at 33.4. Net: start Caleb Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A+ vs QB).
Matchup
Caleb Williams (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.
Recent form
Caleb Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 21, 23, 18.6, 37.3, 7.7 (oldest to newest).
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
What flips it
Williams's edge is 0.7 points (17.7 to 17). Mahomes's ceiling (26.9) clears Williams's projection, so a big game from Mahomes flips it. Williams's floor (13.6) sits under Mahomes's projection, so a quiet game from Williams flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
Compare Caleb Williams with…
The players closest to Caleb Williamsin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.
- Caleb Williams or Dak PrescottQB · 17.7
- Caleb Williams or Trevor LawrenceQB · 17.8
- Caleb Williams or Joe BurrowQB · 17.6
- Caleb Williams or Lamar JacksonQB · 17.9
- Caleb Williams or Drake MayeQB · 17.9
- Caleb Williams or Tyler ShoughQB · 17.9
- Bryce Young or Caleb WilliamsQB · 17.2
- Caleb Williams or Marcus MariotaQB · 17.1
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