Scoring
#1 Start

Hall

RB · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

12.5pts

opportunity

Mod Conf
Bench

Wilson

RB · SEA vs LAC

Sun 4:25 PM

Proj pts

11.5pts

market

Mod Conf

Breece Hall or Emanuel Wilson: who should I start in Week 4?

Start Breece Hall. Bench Emanuel Wilson. Breece Hall leads at 12.5. Emanuel Wilson is the first one out, 1.0 short.

Availability & news

  • Breece HallPractice: DNP

    Hall (quadriceps) didn't practice Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Breece HallStart
RB · NYJ vs CHI

Cons

  • Negative game scriptTrailing
Emanuel WilsonBench
RB · SEA vs LAC

Pros

  • Positive game scriptFavored

Cons

  • Committee back17% of touches
  • Tough matchupTough · D- vs RB

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

HallStart
WilsonBench
Projection12.511.5
Floor8.44.6
Ceiling18.314.3
Touch share37%17%
Opportunity score14.06.2
Matchup grade(recency weighted)CD-
Implied team total20.024.8

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Hall 14.2, Wilson 3.6.

Hall (Practice: DNP): “Hall (quadriceps) didn't practice Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Hall 8.5, Wilson 1.4 (PPR points).

Why Breece Hall

Start Breece Hall — projects 12.5, an even matchup vs CHI, with a rising role.

Breece Hall projects 12.5 points on a 8.4–18.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 15.2. Net: start Breece Hall this week.

Working against Hall: Negative game script (Trailing).

Where Hall leads the head-to-head: Projection (12.5 vs 11.5); Floor (8.4 vs 4.6); Ceiling (18.3 vs 14.3); Touch share (37% vs 17%); Opportunity score (14.0 vs 6.2); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C vs D-); Last 3 avg (14.2 vs 3.6); Last 5 avg (14.3 vs 4.0); vs season (+2.1 vs -2.0); Consistency (46% vs 28%); Boom rate (12% vs 11%); Bust rate (19% vs 33%); Carries / game (15.2 vs 7.4); Touches / game (17.4 vs 8.2); Target share (10% vs 4%); Yards per carry (4.4 vs 4.0); Snap share (64% vs 31%).

Why Emanuel Wilson

Sit Emanuel Wilson — projects 11.5, a tough matchup vs LAC.

Emanuel Wilson projects 11.5 points on a 4.6–14.3 range. The matchup grades as tough against LAC. Usage: carries / game at 7.4. Net: bench Emanuel Wilson this week.

Working for Wilson: Positive game script (Favored).

Working against Wilson: Committee back (17% of touches), Tough matchup (Tough · D- vs RB).

Where Wilson leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (24.8 vs 20.0).

Recent form

Breece Hall's last 5 games: PPR points 8.3, 20.9, 19.8, 14.2, 8.5 (oldest to newest).

Emanuel Wilson's last 5 games: PPR points 3.4, 5.8, 0.3, 9.2, 1.4 (oldest to newest).

Hall has already beaten Wilson's 11.5 projection in 3 of his 5; Wilson has beaten Hall's 12.5 in 0 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Breece Hall (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

Emanuel Wilson (SEA) faces LAC, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 24.8, spread -7.0.

What flips it

Hall's edge is 1 points (12.5 to 11.5). Wilson's ceiling (14.3) clears Hall's projection, so a big game from Wilson flips it. Hall's floor (8.4) sits under Wilson's projection, so a quiet game from Hall flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.