Kelce
TE · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Ankle
Projected points11.1pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Otton
TE · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.0pts
Start if active
Bench
Cade Otton or Travis Kelce: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Travis Kelce over Cade Otton.
- Ahead by
- +3.1pts
- over Otton if he plays
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Travis Kelce may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 80%
- of leagues
Flips if
If Travis Kelce is ruled out before Cade Otton's game starts, start Cade Otton.
Risk
Travis Kelce was limited in practice (ankle): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in Cade Otton's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
KelceStart if activeTE · KC @ DENUsually 11.7−0.6pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.
- 17.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 17.6 points.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.5 receiving yards, below his usual 57.2.
- −4.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.7 points below his season average.
OttonFirst outTE · TB vs ATLUsually 5.4+2.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.24 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.7.
Hurts him
- 0.0last weekHe caught none of his 1 targets last week (0.0 points).
- 3games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 3 straight games.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKelce: 11.1 (best)Otton: 8.0
TD pointsof the projectionKelce: 2.0 (best)Otton: 1.4
Expected TDsthis weekKelce: 0.33 (best)Otton: 0.24
Projected team pointsKelce: 20.8Otton: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameKelce: 0.5 (best)Otton: 0.4
Role
Snap shareKelce: 78%Otton: 94% (best)
Usage worthptsKelce: 9.4 (best)Otton: 7.1
Target shareKelce: 19% (best)Otton: 15%
Targets / gameKelce: 5.8 (best)Otton: 4.3
Air yards shareKelce: 20% (best)Otton: 14%
Vacated targets this weekKelce: 3.8Otton: 9.2 (best)
RZ target shareKelce: 12% (best)Otton: 11%
Inside 10 target shareKelce: 0%Otton: 10% (best)
Catch rateKelce: 69% (best)Otton: 63%
SeparationKelce: 3.8 ydsOtton: 3.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedKelce: +3.0 (best)Otton: +0.1
Usage worth vs scoredKelce: Earned by usage 9.4Scored 11.7Otton: Earned by usage 7.1Scored 5.4
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsKelce: AboveOtton: Below
WOPRKelce: 0.43 (best)Otton: 0.35
Range
FloorKelce: 6.8 (best)Otton: 5.4
CeilingKelce: 17.6 (best)Otton: 13.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKelce: 17%Otton: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Kelce: 17% (best)Otton: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterKelce: 17% (best)Otton: 29%
SteadinessKelce: Steady (best)±7.4 pts · 6 gamesOtton: Steady±3.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmKelce: C+Otton: C+
Game scriptKelce: Expected to leadOtton: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKelce: 1.4Otton: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelKelce: NeutralOtton: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedKelce: 17th (average)Otton: 29th (soft) (best)
Starting QBKelce: Mahomes (Active)Otton: Mayfield (Active)
Opp defender outKelce: Elliss (LB)Otton: None listed
WeatherKelce: No concernOtton: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassKelce: OpenOtton: Open
Rest / scheduleKelce: NormalOtton: Normal
Opp paceKelce: 30th (slow)Otton: 21st (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameKelce: 0.4 (best)11th (average)Otton: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedKelce: 72%13th (average)Otton: 77% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgKelce: 7.1 (best)Otton: 2.3
Last 5 avgKelce: 12.0 (best)Otton: 4.6
vs seasonKelce: −4.7 (Cooling)Otton: −3.1 (Cooling) (best)
Yards per route runKelce: 2.21 (best)Otton: 1.04
Receiving aDOTKelce: 6.3Otton: 6.3
Target share trendKelce: RisingOtton: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesKelce: 81%Otton: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKelce: TE6 (best)Otton: TE19
Yards linereceivingKelce: 46.5 (best)Otton: 30.5
Deciding on someone else?
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