New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Lean

Williams

QB · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points17.7pts

First out

Goff

QB · DET vs MIN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points16.4pts

Lean

Bench

Caleb Williams or Jared Goff: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.

Ahead by
+1.3pts
over Goff
Confidence
Moderate
Lean
Started
69%
of leagues

Flips if

Start Jared Goff instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (28% of his games to 21%).

Risk

Caleb Williams has played 2 games since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 10:00 AM ET
WilliamsLeanQB · CHI @ SEAUsually 20.9−3.2pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.25.
  2. 26.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 26.3 points.

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.19 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.50.
  2. −1.1ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 rushing yards, below his usual 32.0.
  3. −1.1ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 227.5 passing yards, below his usual 255.0.
  4. SEAvs QBsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for quarterbacks.
GoffFirst outQB · DET vs MINUsually 22.2−5.7pts this week

Helps him

  1. 40.0dropbacksHe drops back 40.0 times a game.
  2. steadyHis weekly scores stay close to his average.

Hurts him

  1. −3.3ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 2.33.
  2. −1.5ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 260.5 passing yards, below his usual 298.0.
  3. −0.5ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.08 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.17.
  4. MINvs QBsEdgeMIN is the toughest defense for quarterbacks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 17.7 (best)Goff: 16.4
Rush TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 1.1 (best)Goff: 0.5
Rush TDs expectedthis weekWilliams: 0.19 (best)Goff: 0.08
Projected team pointsWilliams: 21.8Goff: 24.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameWilliams: 0.3 (best)Goff: 0.2
Red zone carriesper gameWilliams: 1.5 (best)Goff: 0.3
Pass attempts / gameWilliams: 31.0Goff: 37.2 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 97%Goff: 99% (best)
Touch shareWilliams: 11% (best)Goff: 4%
Touches / gameWilliams: 6.0 (best)Goff: 2.0
Yards per attemptWilliams: 8.2 (best)Goff: 8.0
Pass TD rateWilliams: 4%Goff: 6% (best)
Rush yards / gameWilliams: 32.0 (best)Goff: 2.5
Points from rushingWilliams: 30%Goff: 6%
Rushing points / gameWilliams: 6.2 pts / game (best)Goff: 1.2 pts / game
Rushing floorWilliams: 3.3 pts / game (best)Goff: 1.0 pts / game
Designed runs / gameWilliams: 2.0 (best)Goff: 0.7
Scrambles / gameWilliams: 3.5 (best)Goff: 0.8
Dropbacks / gameWilliams: 37.5Goff: 40.0 (best)
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameWilliams: 0.8 (best)Goff: 0.2
Sacks per dropbackWilliams: 8%Goff: 5% (best)
INT rateWilliams: 0.8%Goff: 0% (best)
Pass aDOTWilliams: 7.0Goff: 7.9
High value touches / gameWilliams: 1.0 (best)Goff: 0.2
Goal line carry shareWilliams: 10% (best)Goff: 7%
Red zone touches / gameWilliams: 1.5 (best)Goff: 0.3
Rush success rateWilliams: 55% (best)Goff: 22%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Williams: 4.5% (best)Goff: 0%
Range
FloorWilliams: 12.8Goff: 13.4 (best)
CeilingWilliams: 26.3 (best)Goff: 22.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 14%Goff: 5%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Williams: 21%Goff: 28% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 29%Goff: 4% (best)
SteadinessWilliams: Steady±10.1 ptsGoff: Very steady (best)±6.6 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilliams: F2026, 7 gmGoff: F2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to trailGoff: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 1.7 (best)Goff: 1.8
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralGoff: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 1st (tough)Goff: 2nd (tough) (best)
Opp sacks / gameWilliams: 2.4 (best)Goff: 3.5
Roof / surfaceturfWilliams: OpenGoff: Dome
Rest / scheduleWilliams: 11 days restGoff: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 9th (fast) (best)Goff: 26th (slow)
Opp pressure rateWilliams: 38%1st (tough)Goff: 29% (best)5th (tough)
Pressure facedWilliams: 27%Goff: 14% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedWilliams: 6th (tough)Goff: 10th (tough) (best)
Opp stuff rateWilliams: 21%6th (tough)Goff: 19% (best)10th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedWilliams: 3.62nd (tough)Goff: 4.2 (best)13th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 3.0 (best)10th (tough)Goff: 2.86th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 66% (best)12th (average)Goff: 57%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 15.4Goff: 22.5 (best)
Last 5 avgWilliams: 20.9Goff: 23.3 (best)
vs seasonWilliams: −5.5Goff: +0.3 (Steady) (best)
Yards per carryWilliams: 5.3 (best)Goff: 1.3
Carries / gameWilliams: 6.0 (best)Goff: 2.0
Pass volume trendWilliams: SteadyGoff: Steady
Games since injuryWilliams: 2Goff: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 70% (best)Goff: 65%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: QB6 (best)Goff: QB13
Yards linepassingWilliams: 227.5Goff: 260.5 (best)

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