New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Toss-up

Williams

QB · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points17.7pts

First out

Murray

QB · MIN @ DET

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points17.4pts

Toss-up

Bench

Caleb Williams or Kyler Murray: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Caleb Williams gets the nod over Kyler Murray.

Ahead by
+0.3pts
over Murray
Confidence
Lower
Toss-up
Started
69%
of leagues

Case for Murray

The case for Murray is a lighter pass rush to face (pressure on 21% of throws to 38%) and the easier matchup (the softest defense for quarterbacks, while Williams faces the 2nd toughest defense for quarterbacks).

Flips if

Start Kyler Murray instead if you want the easier matchup (the softest defense for quarterbacks, while Williams faces the 2nd toughest defense for quarterbacks).

Risk

Caleb Williams has played 2 games since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
WilliamsToss-upQB · CHI @ SEAUsually 20.9−3.2pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.25.
  2. 26.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 26.3 points.

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.19 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.50.
  2. −1.1ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 rushing yards, below his usual 32.0.
  3. −1.1ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 227.5 passing yards, below his usual 255.0.
  4. SEAvs QBsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for quarterbacks.
MurrayFirst outQB · MIN @ DETUsually 13.5+3.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. +3.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.75.
  2. +1.1ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.18 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
  3. +1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 224.5 passing yards, above his usual 198.5.
  4. DETvs QBsEdgeDET is the softest defense for quarterbacks.

Hurts him

  1. −0.7ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 30.8.
  2. 50%dud weeks50% of his games have been dud weeks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 17.7 (best)Murray: 17.4
Rush TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 1.1Murray: 1.1
Rush TDs expectedthis weekWilliams: 0.19 (best)Murray: 0.18
Projected team pointsWilliams: 21.8 (best)Murray: 21.3
Goal line carriesper gameWilliams: 0.3 (best)Murray: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameWilliams: 1.5 (best)Murray: 0.2
Pass attempts / gameWilliams: 31.0 (best)Murray: 25.0
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 97% (best)Murray: 83%
Touch shareWilliams: 11% (best)Murray: 10%
Touches / gameWilliams: 6.0 (best)Murray: 5.0
Yards per attemptWilliams: 8.2 (best)Murray: 6.5
Pass TD rateWilliams: 4% (best)Murray: 2%
Rush yards / gameWilliams: 32.0 (best)Murray: 26.4
Points from rushingWilliams: 30%Murray: 25%
Rushing points / gameWilliams: 6.2 pts / game (best)Murray: 2.6 pts / game
Rushing floorWilliams: 3.3 pts / game (best)Murray: 2.2 pts / game
Designed runs / gameWilliams: 2.0 (best)Murray: 0.4
Scrambles / gameWilliams: 3.5 (best)Murray: 3.0
Dropbacks / gameWilliams: 37.5 (best)Murray: 30.2
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameWilliams: 0.8 (best)Murray: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackWilliams: 8%Murray: 8%
INT rateWilliams: 0.8% (best)Murray: 1.6%
Pass aDOTWilliams: 7.0Murray: 6.9
High value touches / gameWilliams: 1.0 (best)Murray: 0.0
Goal line carry shareWilliams: 10% (best)Murray: 0%
Red zone touches / gameWilliams: 1.5 (best)Murray: 0.2
Rush success rateWilliams: 55%Murray: 59% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Williams: 4.5%Murray: 5.9% (best)
Range
FloorWilliams: 12.8Murray: 13.6 (best)
CeilingWilliams: 26.3 (best)Murray: 22.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 14%Murray: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Williams: 21% (best)Murray: 0%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 29% (best)Murray: 50%
SteadinessWilliams: Steady±10.1 ptsMurray: Very steady (best)±3.5 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilliams: F2026, 7 gmMurray: A+ (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to trail (best)Murray: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 1.7Murray: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralMurray: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 1st (tough)Murray: 32nd (soft) (best)
Opp sacks / gameWilliams: 2.4 (best)Murray: 3.5
Roof / surfaceturfWilliams: OpenMurray: Dome
Rest / scheduleWilliams: 11 days restMurray: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 9th (fast)Murray: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp pressure rateWilliams: 38%1st (tough)Murray: 21% (best)16th (average)
Pressure facedWilliams: 27%Murray: 21% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedWilliams: 6th (tough)Murray: 12th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateWilliams: 21%6th (tough)Murray: 16% (best)18th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedWilliams: 3.62nd (tough)Murray: 4.3 (best)17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 3.010th (tough)Murray: 5.7 (best)31st (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 66%12th (average)Murray: 71% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 15.4 (best)Murray: 14.5
Last 5 avgWilliams: 20.9 (best)Murray: 10.7
vs seasonWilliams: −5.5Murray: +3.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryWilliams: 5.3Murray: 5.3
Carries / gameWilliams: 6.0 (best)Murray: 5.0
Pass volume trendWilliams: SteadyMurray: Cooling
Games since injuryWilliams: 2Murray: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 70% (best)Murray: 46%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: QB6 (best)Murray: QB8
Yards linepassingWilliams: 227.5 (best)Murray: 224.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?