Concepcion
WR · CLE vs PIT
Final pts
11.4pts
12.1 proj · −0.7
Sutton
WR · DEN vs SF
Proj pts
12pts
market
Courtland Sutton or KC Concepcion: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean KC Concepcion over Courtland Sutton by 0.1. KC Concepcion leads at 12.1. Courtland Sutton is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Availability & news
KC Concepcion
Concepcion secured five of eight targets for 64 yards and returned two punts for 10 yards in the Browns' 27-24 win over the Steelers on Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 2, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR
Cons
- Low team total18.0 team total
Pros
- Every-down role85% of snaps
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Concepcion 2, Sutton 21.
Concepcion: “Concepcion secured five of eight targets for 64 yards and returned two punts for 10 yards in the Browns' 27-24 win over the Steelers on Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 2, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Sutton 7.6 (PPR points).
Why KC Concepcion
Start KC Concepcion — projects 12.1, a favorable matchup vs PIT.
KC Concepcion projects 12.1 points. The matchup grades as favorable against PIT. Usage: targets / game at 6.7. Net: start KC Concepcion this week.
Working for Concepcion: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR).
Working against Concepcion: Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Concepcion leads the head-to-head: Projection (12.1 vs 12.0); Target share (24% vs 21%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs B-); Last 3 avg (6.3 vs 5.4); Last 5 avg (6.3 vs 5.1); vs season (+0.0 vs -5.9); Consistency (62% vs 45%).
Why Courtland Sutton
Sit Courtland Sutton — projects 12.0, an even matchup vs SF, but the role is cooling.
Courtland Sutton projects 12.0 points on a 7.0–19.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against SF. Usage: targets / game at 7.3. Net: bench Courtland Sutton this week.
Working for Sutton: Every-down role (85% of snaps).
Where Sutton leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (22.3 vs 18.0); Boom rate (18% vs 0%); Bust rate (24% vs 33%); Targets / game (7.3 vs 6.7); Snap share (85% vs 74%); Red zone targets (21 vs 2).
Recent form
KC Concepcion's last 3 games: PPR points 2.9, 7.8, 8.2 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Courtland Sutton's last 5 games: PPR points 8, 1.5, 3.1, 5.5, 7.6 (oldest to newest).
Concepcion has already beaten Sutton's 12 projection in 0 of his 3; Sutton has beaten Concepcion's 12.1 in 0 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
KC Concepcion (CLE) played PIT (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +2.5.
Courtland Sutton (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Courtland Sutton comparisons
- Courtland Sutton or Khalil Shakir12.0 · 11.9
- Courtland Sutton or Mack Hollins12.0 · 12.2
- Courtland Sutton or Jakobi Meyers12.0 · 11.8
- Courtland Sutton or Romeo Doubs12.0 · 11.8
More KC Concepcion comparisons
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- KC Concepcion or Ladd McConkey12.1 · 12.2
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion12.3 · 12.1
- KC Concepcion or Khalil Shakir12.1 · 11.9
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)