New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Odunze

WR · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points9.7pts

First out

Sutton

WR · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points8.6ptsUsage estimate

Toss-up

Bench

Courtland Sutton or Rome Odunze: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Rome Odunze gets the nod over Courtland Sutton.

Ahead by: +1.1pts; over Sutton
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 51%; of leagues

Sutton's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

Start Courtland Sutton instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (8% of his games to 4%).

Risk

The risk: Odunze faces the Seahawks, the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

OdunzeToss-upWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 8.6+1.1pts this week

Helps him

+2.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.33 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
85%snapsHe is on the field for 85% of snaps.

Hurts him

−1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 42.0 receiving yards, below his usual 54.4.
SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.

SuttonFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 5.5+3.0pts this week

Helps him

+3.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

−0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection9.78.6

TD pointsof the projection2.0Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.33Our estimate

Projected team points21.819.8

Red zone targetsper game0.71.0

Role

Snap share85%77%

Usage worthpts9.88.6

Target share17%17%

Targets / game5.44.7

Air yards share33%30%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBelowIn line

WOPR0.460.48

RZ target share14%27%

Catch rate63%48%

Separation2.7 yds2.8 yds

YAC over expected+0.8+0.6

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.8Scored 8.6Earned by usage 8.6Scored 5.5

Vacated targets this week2.03.0

Inside 10 target share20%33%

Range

Floor6.84.9

Ceiling16.813.1

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%16%

Big weeks (20+ pts)4%8%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better34%44%

SteadinessSteady±5.1 ptsUp & down±5.9 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionF2026, 7 gmD2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.71.7

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed1st (tough)12th (average)

Starting QBWilliams (Active)Nix (Active)

Opp defender outNone listedNorman-Lott (DT)

Roof / surfaceOpenturfOpengrass

Rest / schedule11 days restNormal

Opp pace9th (fast)24th (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.911th (average)3.217th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed56%3rd (tough)57%5th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg7.67.1

Last 5 avg9.16.0

vs season−1.0 (Cooling)+1.5 (Rising)

Yards per route run1.720.95

Receiving aDOT13.311.1

Target share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues51%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR35WR45

Yards linereceiving42.0Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

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