Sutton
WR · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.6ptsUsage estimate
Smith
WR · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points5.7ptsUsage estimate
12.5 if he plays · 46% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Courtland Sutton or DeVonta Smith: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Courtland Sutton gets the nod over DeVonta Smith.
- Ahead by
- +2.9pts
- over Smith
- Confidence
- Lower
- DeVonta Smith may not play (about 46% to play)
Flips if
An injury tag on Courtland Sutton or a bigger role for DeVonta Smith.
Risk
DeVonta Smith missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. DeVonta Smith missed his last game (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
SuttonToss-upWR · DEN vs KCUsually 5.5+3.0pts this week
Helps him
- +3.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
- KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
SmithFirst outWR · PHI @ WASUsually 17.3−11.6pts this week
Helps him
- 32%targetsHe draws 32% of his team’s targets.
- 10.2per gameHe sees 10.2 targets a game.
- WASvs WRsEdgeWAS is the 11th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −9.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.0 points off his projection.
- −2.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 0.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSutton: 8.6 (best)Smith: 5.7
Projected team pointsSutton: 19.8 (best)Smith: 17.0
Red zone targetsper gameSutton: 1.0 (best)Smith: 0.8
Role
Snap shareSutton: 77%Smith: 87% (best)
Usage worthptsSutton: 8.6Smith: 17.4 (best)
Target shareSutton: 17%Smith: 32% (best)
Targets / gameSutton: 4.7Smith: 10.3 (best)
Air yards shareSutton: 30%Smith: 48% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSutton: In lineSmith: Above
WOPRSutton: 0.48Smith: 0.81 (best)
RZ target shareSutton: 27%Smith: 27%
Catch rateSutton: 48%Smith: 63% (best)
SeparationSutton: 2.8 yds (best)Smith: 2.4 yds
YAC over expectedSutton: +0.6 (best)Smith: +0.3
Usage worth vs scoredSutton: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 5.5Smith: Earned by usage 17.4Scored 17.3
Vacated targets this weekSutton: 3.0 (best)Smith: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareSutton: 33%Smith: 33%
Range
FloorSutton: 4.9 (best)Smith: 0.0
CeilingSutton: 13.1 (best)Smith: 9.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSutton: 16%Smith: 17%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Sutton: 8%Smith: 29% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSutton: 44%Smith: 8% (best)
SteadinessSutton: Up & down±5.9 ptsSmith: Steady (best)±8.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmSutton: DSmith: B (best)
Game scriptSutton: Expected to trail (best)Smith: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSutton: 1.7Smith: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelSutton: NeutralSmith: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSutton: 12th (average)Smith: 28th (soft) (best)
Starting QBSutton: Nix (Active)Smith: McKee (Active)
Opp defender outSutton: None listedSmith: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassSutton: OpenSmith: Open
Rest / scheduleSutton: NormalSmith: Normal
Opp paceSutton: 24th (slow)Smith: 12th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSutton: 3.217th (average)Smith: 3.8 (best)26th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedSutton: 57%5th (tough)Smith: 67% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgSutton: 7.1Smith: 20.2 (best)
Last 5 avgSutton: 6.0Smith: 17.3 (best)
vs seasonSutton: +1.5 (Rising)Smith: +3.0 (best)
Yards per route runSutton: 0.95Smith: 2.52 (best)
Receiving aDOTSutton: 11.1Smith: 12.2
Target share trendSutton: SteadySmith: Steady
Games since injurySutton: None recentlySmith: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesSutton: Not widely startedSmith: 49%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSutton: WR45 (best)Smith: WR63
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.