Robinson
WR · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.0pts
Sutton
WR · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.6ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Courtland Sutton or Wan'Dale Robinson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Wan'Dale Robinson gets the nod over Courtland Sutton.
- Ahead by
- +1.4pts
- over Sutton
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 38%
- of leagues
Sutton's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Courtland Sutton instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (8% of his games to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Robinson caught 4 for 7 yards last week (4.7 points).
Highlights
RobinsonToss-upWR · TEN @ CINUsually 8.8+1.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 39.5 receiving yards, above his usual 29.3.
Hurts him
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
SuttonFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 5.5+3.0pts this week
Helps him
- +3.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
- KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionRobinson: 10.0 (best)Sutton: 8.6
TD pointsof the projectionRobinson: 1.4Sutton: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekRobinson: 0.24Sutton: Our estimate
Projected team pointsRobinson: 17.0Sutton: 19.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameRobinson: 1.1 (best)Sutton: 1.0
Role
Snap shareRobinson: 66%Sutton: 77% (best)
Usage worthptsRobinson: 10.5 (best)Sutton: 8.6
Target shareRobinson: 21% (best)Sutton: 17%
Targets / gameRobinson: 6.1 (best)Sutton: 4.7
Air yards shareRobinson: 18%Sutton: 30% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsRobinson: In lineSutton: In line
WOPRRobinson: 0.44Sutton: 0.48 (best)
RZ target shareRobinson: 31% (best)Sutton: 27%
Catch rateRobinson: 67% (best)Sutton: 48%
SeparationRobinson: 3.2 yds (best)Sutton: 2.8 yds
YAC over expectedRobinson: +0.5Sutton: +0.6 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredRobinson: Earned by usage 10.5Scored 8.8Sutton: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 5.5
Vacated targets this weekRobinson: 0.0Sutton: 3.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareRobinson: 38% (best)Sutton: 33%
Range
FloorRobinson: 5.6 (best)Sutton: 4.9
CeilingRobinson: 15.1 (best)Sutton: 13.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerRobinson: 20%Sutton: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Robinson: 0%Sutton: 8% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterRobinson: 43% (best)Sutton: 44%
SteadinessRobinson: Steady (best)±5.6 pts · 7 gamesSutton: Up & down±5.9 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmRobinson: C (best)Sutton: D
Game scriptRobinson: Expected to trailSutton: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterRobinson: 1.5 (best)Sutton: 1.7
Defense funnelRobinson: NeutralSutton: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedRobinson: 26th (soft) (best)Sutton: 12th (average)
Starting QBRobinson: Ward (Active)Sutton: Nix (Active)
Roof / surfaceRobinson: OpenturfSutton: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleRobinson: NormalSutton: Normal
Opp paceRobinson: 20th (average) (best)Sutton: 24th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameRobinson: 3.014th (average)Sutton: 3.2 (best)17th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedRobinson: 58% (best)7th (tough)Sutton: 57%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgRobinson: 7.1Sutton: 7.1
Last 5 avgRobinson: 10.2 (best)Sutton: 6.0
vs seasonRobinson: −1.7 (Cooling)Sutton: +1.5 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runRobinson: 1.21 (best)Sutton: 0.95
Receiving aDOTRobinson: 5.8Sutton: 11.1
Target share trendRobinson: SteadySutton: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesRobinson: 39%Sutton: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterRobinson: WR33 (best)Sutton: WR45
Yards linereceivingRobinson: 39.5Sutton: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.