New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Goedert

TE · PHI @ WAS

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET

Projected points11.2ptsUsage estimate

First out

Andrews

TE · BAL @ BUF

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points8.8pts

Toss-up

Bench

Dallas Goedert or Mark Andrews: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Dallas Goedert gets the nod over Mark Andrews.

Ahead by: +2.4pts; over Andrews
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 82%; of leagues

Goedert's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

Start Mark Andrews instead if you want more of the targets near the goal line (25% to 0%).

Risk

The risk: Andrews plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 1:00 PM ET

GoedertToss-upTE · PHI @ WASUsually 13.8−2.7pts this week

Helps him

+1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
WASvs TEsEdgeWAS is the 2nd softest defense for tight ends.

Hurts him

−1.6ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
−1.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
−0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.

AndrewsFirst outTE · BAL @ BUFUsually 7.2+1.6pts this week

Helps him

+1.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.37 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.

Hurts him

BUFvs TEsEdgeBUF is the 8th toughest defense for tight ends.
65%snapsHe plays only 65% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection11.28.8

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate2.2

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.37

Projected team points17.025.8

Red zone targetsper game0.60.9

Role

Snap share69%65%

Usage worthpts9.88.5

Target share18%19%

Targets / game6.25.3

Air yards share13%16%

Vacated targets this week0.00.7

RZ target share30%19%

Inside 10 target share0%25%

Catch rate71%70%

Separation2.9 yds3.4 yds

YAC over expected+1.0−0.4

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.8Scored 11.4Earned by usage 8.5Scored 7.2

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAboveIn line

WOPR0.370.40

Range

Floor7.15.3

Ceiling18.014.3

Points from TDssteadier when lower21%12%

Big weeks (15+ pts)20%0%

Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is better20%29%

SteadinessUp & down±8.0 pts · 5 gamesSteady±4.2 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmA+D+

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.31.0

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed28th (soft)31st (soft)

Starting QBMcKee (Active)Huntley (Active)

Opp defender outKinlaw (DT)None listed

Roof / surfaceOpengrassOpenturf

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace12th (average)24th (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.514th (average)0.723rd (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed76%23rd (soft)68%8th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg10.63.8

Last 5 avg11.46.1

vs season−0.8 (Cooling)−3.4 (Cooling)

Yards per route run2.041.39

Receiving aDOT5.57.0

Target share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues82%41%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterTE5TE15

Yards linereceivingOur estimate30.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?