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Week7 · 2026
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Scoring
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Ferguson

TE · DAL vs PHI

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points6.4pts

Kincaid

TE · BYE

Bye

Projected points—

Jake Ferguson or Dalton Kincaid: who should I start in Week 7?

Start Jake Ferguson.

Highlights

Injuries as of Thu 1:00 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    —

    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.32 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.−1.1 pts

    Usually scores 7.4 → projected 6.4−1.0 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • He draws only 10% of his team's targets.
    • He sees only 4.0 targets a game.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionFerguson: 6.4Kincaid: On bye
TD pointsof the projectionFerguson: 1.9Kincaid: On bye
Expected TDsthis weekFerguson: 0.32Kincaid: On bye
Projected team pointsFerguson: 24.3Kincaid: On bye
Red zone targetsper gameFerguson: 0.7Kincaid: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareFerguson: 69% (best)Kincaid: 68%
Usage worthptsFerguson: 6.6Kincaid: 8.6 (best)
Target shareFerguson: 10%Kincaid: 18% (best)
Targets / gameFerguson: 4.0Kincaid: 4.8 (best)
Air yards shareFerguson: 7%Kincaid: 19% (best)
Vacated targets this weekFerguson: 0.0Kincaid: 0.0
RZ target shareFerguson: 11%Kincaid: 19% (best)
Inside 10 target shareFerguson: 17%Kincaid: 17%
Catch rateFerguson: 71%Kincaid: 79% (best)
SeparationFerguson: 3.8 yds (best)Kincaid: 3.0 yds
YAC over expectedFerguson: −0.2Kincaid: +2.1 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredFerguson: Earned by usage 6.6Scored 7.4Kincaid: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 10.1
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsFerguson: AboveKincaid: In line
WOPRFerguson: 0.20Kincaid: 0.38 (best)
Range
FloorFerguson: 3.2Kincaid: On bye
CeilingFerguson: 10.5Kincaid: On bye
Points from TDssteadier when lowerFerguson: 40%Kincaid: 10%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Ferguson: 10%Kincaid: 33% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterFerguson: 56%Kincaid: 50% (best)
SteadinessFerguson: Up & down (best)±5.6 ptsKincaid: Volatile±8.6 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionFerguson: C2026, 6 gmKincaid: On bye
Game scriptFerguson: Expected to leadKincaid: On bye
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterFerguson: 0.5Kincaid: On bye
Defense funnelFerguson: NeutralKincaid: On bye
Opp pass yds allowedFerguson: 25th (soft)Kincaid: On bye
Starting QBFerguson: Prescott (Active)Kincaid: Allen (Active)
Roof / surfaceFerguson: OpengrassKincaid: On bye
Rest / scheduleFerguson: NormalKincaid: On bye
Opp paceFerguson: 28th (slow)Kincaid: On bye
Opp deep targets allowed / gameFerguson: 0.513th (average)Kincaid: On bye
Opp catch rate allowedFerguson: 73%19th (average)Kincaid: On bye
Form
Last 3 avgFerguson: 4.1Kincaid: 5.4 (best)
Last 5 avgFerguson: 8.4Kincaid: 8.5 (best)
vs seasonFerguson: −3.3 (Cooling) (best)Kincaid: −4.7 (Cooling)
Yards per route runFerguson: 0.70Kincaid: 2.76 (best)
Receiving aDOTFerguson: 4.9Kincaid: 9.3
Target share trendFerguson: SteadyKincaid: Rising
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterFerguson: TE24Kincaid: On bye
Yards linereceivingFerguson: 19.5Kincaid: On bye

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