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Week7 · 2026
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Scoring
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Start

Dobbins

RB · DEN vs ARI

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points10.2pts

Montgomery

RB · HOU vs NYG

Out · GroinRuled out

Projected points—

J.K. Dobbins or David Montgomery: who should I start in Week 7?

Start J.K. Dobbins.

Highlights

Injuries as of Tue 8:04 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.56 touchdowns, above his usual 0.33.+1.4 pts
    • Everything else+0.5 pts

    Usually scores 8.3 → projected 10.2+1.9 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • He averages 1.2 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
    • EdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
    • EdgeARI is the 6th toughest defense for running backs.
    • He plays only 44% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDobbins: 10.2Montgomery: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionDobbins: 3.4Montgomery: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekDobbins: 0.56Montgomery: Ruled out
Projected team pointsDobbins: 24.0Montgomery: 26.5 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameDobbins: 1.2 (best)Montgomery: 0.6
Red zone carriesper gameDobbins: 2.0 (best)Montgomery: 1.8
Red zone targetsper gameDobbins: 0.0Montgomery: 0.2 (best)
Role
Snap shareDobbins: 44%Montgomery: 47% (best)
Usage worthptsDobbins: 11.1 (best)Montgomery: 8.5
Touch shareDobbins: 34% (best)Montgomery: 25%
Target shareDobbins: 6% (best)Montgomery: 4%
Touches / gameDobbins: 14.8 (best)Montgomery: 11.8
Targets / gameDobbins: 1.5 (best)Montgomery: 1.4
Air yards shareDobbins: Behind the lineMontgomery: 2%
Vacated touches this weekDobbins: 2.6Montgomery: 7.0 (best)
High value touches / gameDobbins: 2.8 (best)Montgomery: 2.4
Goal line carry shareDobbins: 58% (best)Montgomery: 50%
Red zone touches / gameDobbins: 2.0Montgomery: 2.0
Rush success rateDobbins: 28% (best)Montgomery: 25%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Dobbins: 0%Montgomery: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredDobbins: Earned by usage 11.1Scored 8.3Montgomery: Earned by usage 8.5Scored 9.1
Rush yards / gameDobbins: 45.0 (best)Montgomery: 27.6
Points from rushingDobbins: 78%Montgomery: 57%
WOPRDobbins: 0.07Montgomery: 0.07
RZ target shareDobbins: 0%Montgomery: 6% (best)
Inside 10 target shareDobbins: 0%Montgomery: 25% (best)
Catch rateDobbins: 89%Montgomery: 100% (best)
Rushing points / gameDobbins: 6.5 pts / game (best)Montgomery: 5.2 pts / game
Rushing floorDobbins: 5.5 pts / game (best)Montgomery: 3.2 pts / game
Range
FloorDobbins: 6.1Montgomery: Ruled out
CeilingDobbins: 16.4Montgomery: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDobbins: 24%Montgomery: 40%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Dobbins: 0%Montgomery: 25% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterDobbins: 67% (best)Montgomery: 75%
SteadinessDobbins: Steady (best)±5.1 pts · 6 gamesMontgomery: Volatile±11.9 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmDobbins: D+Montgomery: A- (best)
Game scriptDobbins: Expected to leadMontgomery: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDobbins: 1.3 (best)Montgomery: 1.5
Defense funnelDobbins: PassMontgomery: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedDobbins: 20th (average)Montgomery: 29th (soft) (best)
Backfield roleDobbins: CommitteeMontgomery: Out this week
Opp defender outDobbins: Nolen (DT)Montgomery: Edmunds (MLB)
Roof / surfaceDobbins: Retractable roofgrassMontgomery: Retractable roofturf
Rest / scheduleDobbins: 10 days restMontgomery: Normal
Opp paceDobbins: 5th (fast) (best)Montgomery: 8th (fast)
Opp stuff rateDobbins: 18%20th (average)Montgomery: 15% (best)24th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedDobbins: 4.219th (average)Montgomery: 4.8 (best)29th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedDobbins: 23rd (soft) (best)Montgomery: 4th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDobbins: 0.2 (best)25th (soft)Montgomery: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedDobbins: 67%1st (tough)Montgomery: 88% (best)27th (soft)
Starting QBDobbins: Nix (Active)Montgomery: Stroud (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgDobbins: 12.1 (best)Montgomery: 4.1
Last 5 avgDobbins: 9.2 (best)Montgomery: 9.1
vs seasonDobbins: +3.8 (Rising) (best)Montgomery: −5.0 (Cooling)
Yards per carryDobbins: 3.3 (best)Montgomery: 2.7
Carries / gameDobbins: 13.5 (best)Montgomery: 10.4
Yards per route runDobbins: 0.90Montgomery: 1.08 (best)
Receiving aDOTDobbins: −1.1Montgomery: 3.6
Touch share trendDobbins: SteadyMontgomery: Left Week 5 hurt
Games since injuryDobbins: None recentlyMontgomery: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesDobbins: 61%Montgomery: Ruled out
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDobbins: RB25Montgomery: Ruled out
Yards linerushingDobbins: 47.5Montgomery: Ruled out

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