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Week7 · 2026
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Jones

RB · MIN vs IND

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points11.0pts

Montgomery

RB · HOU vs NYG

Out · GroinRuled out

Projected points—

Aaron Jones or David Montgomery: who should I start in Week 7?

Start Aaron Jones.

Highlights

Injuries as of Tue 8:04 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.51 touchdowns, above his usual 0.40.+0.7 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 39.5 rushing yards, below his usual 82.0.−4.3 pts
    • Everything else+0.5 pts

    Usually scores 14.0 → projected 11.0−3.1 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeIND is the 8th softest defense for running backs.
    • His weekly scores stay close to his average.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJones: 11.0Montgomery: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionJones: 3.1Montgomery: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekJones: 0.51Montgomery: Ruled out
Projected team pointsJones: 24.0Montgomery: 26.5 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameJones: 0.2Montgomery: 0.6 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameJones: 2.2 (best)Montgomery: 1.8
Red zone targetsper gameJones: 0.4 (best)Montgomery: 0.2
Role
Snap shareJones: 73% (best)Montgomery: 47%
Usage worthptsJones: 15.1 (best)Montgomery: 8.5
Touch shareJones: 45% (best)Montgomery: 25%
Target shareJones: 12% (best)Montgomery: 4%
Touches / gameJones: 21.8 (best)Montgomery: 11.8
Targets / gameJones: 3.6 (best)Montgomery: 1.4
Air yards shareJones: Behind the lineMontgomery: 2%
Vacated touches this weekJones: 0.0Montgomery: 7.0 (best)
High value touches / gameJones: 3.0 (best)Montgomery: 2.4
Goal line carry shareJones: 50%Montgomery: 50%
Red zone touches / gameJones: 2.6 (best)Montgomery: 2.0
Rush success rateJones: 36% (best)Montgomery: 25%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Jones: 1.0% (best)Montgomery: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredJones: Earned by usage 15.1Scored 14.0Montgomery: Earned by usage 8.5Scored 9.1
Rush yards / gameJones: 82.0 (best)Montgomery: 27.6
Points from rushingJones: 75%Montgomery: 57%
WOPRJones: 0.19 (best)Montgomery: 0.07
RZ target shareJones: 12% (best)Montgomery: 6%
Inside 10 target shareJones: 0%Montgomery: 25% (best)
Catch rateJones: 67%Montgomery: 100% (best)
Rushing points / gameJones: 10.6 pts / game (best)Montgomery: 5.2 pts / game
Rushing floorJones: 8.3 pts / game (best)Montgomery: 3.2 pts / game
Range
FloorJones: 7.4Montgomery: Ruled out
CeilingJones: 15.7Montgomery: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJones: 17%Montgomery: 40%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jones: 0%Montgomery: 25% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJones: 0% (best)Montgomery: 75%
SteadinessJones: Very steady (best)±3.8 pts · 5 gamesMontgomery: Volatile±11.9 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmJones: B+Montgomery: A- (best)
Game scriptJones: Expected to leadMontgomery: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJones: 0.5 (best)Montgomery: 1.5
Defense funnelJones: NeutralMontgomery: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJones: 21st (average)Montgomery: 29th (soft) (best)
Backfield roleJones: LeadMontgomery: Out this week
Opp defender outJones: None listedMontgomery: Edmunds (MLB)
Roof / surfaceturfJones: DomeMontgomery: Retractable roof
Rest / scheduleJones: Off a byeMontgomery: Normal
Opp paceJones: 6th (fast) (best)Montgomery: 8th (fast)
Opp stuff rateJones: 14% (best)26th (soft)Montgomery: 15%24th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedJones: 4.627th (soft)Montgomery: 4.8 (best)29th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedJones: 21st (average) (best)Montgomery: 4th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Jones: 0.0Montgomery: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedJones: 74%11th (average)Montgomery: 88% (best)27th (soft)
Starting QBJones: Murray (Active)Montgomery: Stroud (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJones: 16.6 (best)Montgomery: 4.1
Last 5 avgJones: 14.0 (best)Montgomery: 9.1
vs seasonJones: +2.5 (Rising) (best)Montgomery: −5.0 (Cooling)
Yards per carryJones: 4.2 (best)Montgomery: 2.7
Carries / gameJones: 19.4 (best)Montgomery: 10.4
Yards per route runJones: 0.90Montgomery: 1.08 (best)
Receiving aDOTJones: −0.3Montgomery: 3.6
Touch share trendJones: SteadyMontgomery: Left Week 5 hurt
Games since injuryJones: None recentlyMontgomery: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesJones: 80%Montgomery: Ruled out
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJones: RB23Montgomery: Ruled out
Yards linerushingJones: 39.5Montgomery: Ruled out

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