Burden
WR · CHI @ SEA
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points12.1pts
Douglas
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points9.4pts
Lean
Bench
DeMario Douglas or Luther Burden III: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Luther Burden III over DeMario Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +2.7pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 84%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start DeMario Douglas instead if you want more room to get open (3.9 yards of separation to 3.1 yards).
Risk
Weather in DeMario Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
BurdenLeanWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 13.9−1.8pts this week
Helps him
- 23.7last weekHe caught 4 for 130 yards and a touchdown last week (23.7 points).
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.0 receiving yards, below his usual 70.1.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.0.
- SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
- 61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
DouglasFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 9.2+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +6.6last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.6 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.35 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- 4.9per gameHe sees only 4.9 targets a game.
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBurden: 12.1 (best)Douglas: 9.4
TD pointsof the projectionBurden: 2.1Douglas: 2.1
Expected TDsthis weekBurden: 0.35Douglas: 0.35
Projected team pointsBurden: 21.8Douglas: 25.0 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameBurden: 0.1 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameBurden: 0.4 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameBurden: 1.3 (best)Douglas: 0.6
Role
Snap shareBurden: 61% (best)Douglas: 55%
Usage worthptsBurden: 12.8 (best)Douglas: 8.4
Touch shareBurden: 10% (best)Douglas: 7%
Target shareBurden: 21% (best)Douglas: 16%
Touches / gameBurden: 6.1 (best)Douglas: 3.3
Targets / gameBurden: 6.7 (best)Douglas: 4.9
Air yards shareBurden: 26% (best)Douglas: 18%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBurden: In lineDouglas: Above
WOPRBurden: 0.49 (best)Douglas: 0.36
RZ target shareBurden: 25% (best)Douglas: 13%
Catch rateBurden: 74% (best)Douglas: 68%
SeparationBurden: 3.1 ydsDouglas: 3.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBurden: +0.5Douglas: +0.9 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBurden: Earned by usage 12.8Scored 13.9Douglas: Earned by usage 8.4Scored 9.2
Rush yards / gameBurden: 4.1 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Points from rushingBurden: 3%Douglas: 0%
Vacated targets this weekBurden: 2.0Douglas: 9.0 (best)
High value touches / gameBurden: 5.1 (best)Douglas: 3.3
Goal line carry shareBurden: 4% (best)Douglas: 0%
Red zone touches / gameBurden: 1.7 (best)Douglas: 0.6
Rush success rateBurden: 50%Douglas: 0 carries
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Burden: 0%Douglas: 0 carries
Inside 10 target shareBurden: 20% (best)Douglas: 15%
Rushing points / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)Douglas: 0.0 pts / game
Rushing floorBurden: 0.2 pts / game (best)Douglas: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorBurden: 7.4 (best)Douglas: 4.9
CeilingBurden: 18.8 (best)Douglas: 17.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBurden: 12%Douglas: 28%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Burden: 14%Douglas: 14%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBurden: 14% (best)Douglas: 57%
SteadinessBurden: Very steady (best)±6.5 pts · 7 gamesDouglas: Volatile±8.3 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBurden: F2026, 7 gmDouglas: D- (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptBurden: Expected to trailDouglas: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBurden: 1.7Douglas: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelBurden: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBurden: 1st (tough)Douglas: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBBurden: Williams (Active)Douglas: Maye (Active)
WeatherBurden: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceBurden: OpenturfDouglas: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBurden: 11 days restDouglas: 10 days rest
Opp paceBurden: 9th (fast) (best)Douglas: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBurden: 2.9 (best)11th (average)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBurden: 56%3rd (tough)Douglas: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedBurden: 6th (tough)Douglas: 16th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateBurden: 22%4th (tough)Douglas: 18% (best)15th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedBurden: 3.42nd (tough)Douglas: 4.3 (best)21st (average)
Form
Last 3 avgBurden: 16.7 (best)Douglas: 15.8
Last 5 avgBurden: 16.3 (best)Douglas: 11.1
vs seasonBurden: +2.8 (Rising)Douglas: +6.6 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryBurden: 3.6Douglas: 0 carries
Carries / gameBurden: 1.1 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Yards per route runBurden: 2.87 (best)Douglas: 1.63
Receiving aDOTBurden: 8.5Douglas: 10.3
Target share trendBurden: SteadyDouglas: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesBurden: 85%Douglas: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBurden: WR21 (best)Douglas: WR40
Yards linereceivingBurden: 51.0 (best)Douglas: 37.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.