Wilson
WR · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Ribs
Projected points13.0pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Douglas
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points9.4pts
Start · check inactives
Bench
DeMario Douglas or Michael Wilson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Michael Wilson. If he's inactive, start DeMario Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +3.6pts
- over Douglas if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- Michael Wilson may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 82%
- of leagues
Flips if
If Michael Wilson is inactive, start DeMario Douglas.
Risk
Michael Wilson was limited in practice (ribs): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start DeMario Douglas. Weather in DeMario Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
WilsonStart · check inactivesWR · ARI @ DALUsually 11.7+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.46 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- 9.4per gameHe sees 9.4 targets a game.
- 90%snapsHe is on the field for 90% of snaps.
- 21.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 21.6 points.
Hurts him
- −0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.3.
- 2nd softestper targetEdgeDAL allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (2.06 pts, 2nd softest).
DouglasIf he sitsWR · NE @ MIAUsually 9.2+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +6.6last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.6 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.35 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- 4.9per gameHe sees only 4.9 targets a game.
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilson: 13.0 (best)Douglas: 9.4
TD pointsof the projectionWilson: 2.8 (best)Douglas: 2.1
Expected TDsthis weekWilson: 0.46 (best)Douglas: 0.35
Projected team pointsWilson: 23.8Douglas: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWilson: 1.9 (best)Douglas: 0.6
Role
Snap shareWilson: 90% (best)Douglas: 55%
Usage worthptsWilson: 17.4 (best)Douglas: 8.4
Target shareWilson: 24% (best)Douglas: 16%
Targets / gameWilson: 9.4 (best)Douglas: 4.9
Air yards shareWilson: 36% (best)Douglas: 18%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilson: BelowDouglas: Above
WOPRWilson: 0.64 (best)Douglas: 0.36
RZ target shareWilson: 23% (best)Douglas: 13%
Catch rateWilson: 56%Douglas: 68% (best)
SeparationWilson: 2.1 ydsDouglas: 3.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWilson: −0.1Douglas: +0.9 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWilson: Earned by usage 17.4Scored 11.7Douglas: Earned by usage 8.4Scored 9.2
Vacated targets this weekWilson: 3.3Douglas: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareWilson: 29% (best)Douglas: 15%
Range
FloorWilson: 6.7 (best)Douglas: 4.9
CeilingWilson: 21.6 (best)Douglas: 17.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilson: 7%Douglas: 28%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Wilson: 25% (best)Douglas: 14%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilson: 13% (best)Douglas: 57%
SteadinessWilson: Steady (best)±9.4 ptsDouglas: Volatile±8.3 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilson: B+ (best)2026, 7 gmDouglas: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWilson: Expected to trailDouglas: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilson: 0.6 (best)Douglas: 0.8
Defense funnelWilson: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilson: 15th (average)Douglas: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBWilson: Brissett (Active)Douglas: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outWilson: Bullard (DE)Douglas: None listed
WeatherWilson: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceWilson: Retractable roofturfDouglas: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilson: NormalDouglas: 10 days rest
Opp paceWilson: 9th (fast) (best)Douglas: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilson: 4.6 (best)29th (soft)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWilson: 65%25th (soft)Douglas: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWilson: 8.4Douglas: 15.8 (best)
Last 5 avgWilson: 13.5 (best)Douglas: 11.1
vs seasonWilson: −3.3 (Cooling)Douglas: +6.6 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runWilson: 1.40Douglas: 1.63 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilson: 10.3Douglas: 10.3
Target share trendWilson: SteadyDouglas: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilson: 82%Douglas: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilson: WR17 (best)Douglas: WR39
Yards linereceivingWilson: 56.5 (best)Douglas: 37.5
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