New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Lean

Burden

WR · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points12.1pts

First out

Boston

WR · CLE @ PIT

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.4pts

Lean

Bench

Denzel Boston or Luther Burden III: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Luther Burden III over Denzel Boston.

Ahead by: +1.7pts; over Boston
Confidence: Moderate; Lean
Started: 84%; of leagues

Flips if

Start Denzel Boston instead if you want more of the downfield throws (45% of the air yards to 26%).

Risk

The risk: Burden faces the Seahawks, the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

BurdenLeanWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 13.9−1.8pts this week

Helps him

23.7last weekHe caught 4 for 130 yards and a touchdown last week (23.7 points).

Hurts him

−1.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.0 receiving yards, below his usual 70.1.
−0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.0.
SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

BostonFirst outWR · CLE @ PITUsually 11.0−0.7pts this week

Helps him

+0.6ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.9.
91%snapsHe is on the field for 91% of snaps.

Hurts him

−0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.31 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
7th toughestper targetEdgePIT allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.60 pts, 7th toughest).

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection12.110.4

TD pointsof the projection2.11.9

Expected TDsthis week0.350.31

Projected team points21.818.0

Goal line carriesper game0.10.0

Red zone carriesper game0.40.0

Red zone targetsper game1.30.9

Role

Snap share61%91%

Usage worthpts12.810.7

Touch share10%6%

Target share21%20%

Touches / game6.12.9

Targets / game6.76.0

Air yards share26%45%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsIn lineAbove

WOPR0.490.62

RZ target share25%28%

Catch rate74%48%

Separation3.1 yds1.9 yds

YAC over expected+0.5−0.4

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 12.8Scored 13.9Earned by usage 10.7Scored 11.0

Rush yards / game4.10.0

Points from rushing3%0%

Vacated targets this week2.00.0

High value touches / game5.12.9

Goal line carry share4%0%

Red zone touches / game1.70.7

Rush success rate50%0 carries

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%0 carries

Inside 10 target share20%29%

Rushing points / game0.4 pts / game0.0 pts / game

Rushing floor0.2 pts / game0.0 pts / game

Range

Floor7.46.4

Ceiling18.815.5

Points from TDssteadier when lower12%23%

Big weeks (20+ pts)14%14%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better14%29%

SteadinessVery steady±6.5 pts · 7 gamesSteady±6.0 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmFB-

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.71.6

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed1st (tough)13th (average)

Starting QBWilliams (Active)Watson (Active)

Opp defender outNone listedJoseph-Day (DT)

Roof / surfaceOpenturfOpengrass

Rest / schedule11 days restNormal

Opp pace9th (fast)13th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.911th (average)3.319th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed56%3rd (tough)61%14th (average)

Opp rush yds allowed6th (tough)7th (tough)

Opp stuff rate22%4th (tough)23%3rd (tough)

Opp yards per carry allowed3.42nd (tough)3.64th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg16.77.3

Last 5 avg16.38.6

vs season+2.8 (Rising)−3.8 (Cooling)

Yards per carry3.60 carries

Carries / game1.10.0

Yards per route run2.871.80

Receiving aDOT8.516.6

Target share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues85%58%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR21WR30

Yards linereceiving51.049.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?