RBBAL vs TENRB823.1 projected (16.0–30.9)PPR

Should I start Derrick Henry in Week 4?

Start Derrick Henry in Week 4. Henry projects 23.1 PPR points to Josh Jacobs's 14.8.

Measured against the RB24 start line: Josh Jacobs, RB25 at 14.8 projected PPR points, the first running back below it.

Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET

Why Derrick Henry

Start Derrick Henry — projects 23.1, an even matchup vs TEN, with a rising role.

Derrick Henry projects 23.1 points on a 16.0–30.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against TEN. Usage: carries / game at 18.1. Net: Derrick Henry is start this week.

Working for Henry: Clear start (8.2 pts clear), Goal-line back (1.6 GL carries/g), High-scoring spot (27.5 team total).

Matchup

Derrick Henry (BAL) faces TEN, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.5, spread -11.5.

Recent form

Derrick Henry's last 5 games: PPR points 45.6, 12.6, 35.3, 17.7, 21.9 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.

What flips it

Henry's edge is 8.3 points (23.1 to 14.8). Jacobs's ceiling (19.9) stays under Henry's projection and Henry's floor (16) stays over Jacobs's, so neither range reaches the other's projection. Confidence in the call: high.

Compare Derrick Henry with…

The players closest to Derrick Henryin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.