Start Derrick Henry. Bench Jaylen Warren. Derrick Henry leads at 15.4. Jaylen Warren is the first one out, 5.3 short.

Crowd: started Henry 99% · Warren 55%

Nuvela’s read

Derrick Henry projects 15.4 points on a 12.0–22.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against IND. Usage: carries / game at 18.1. Net: Derrick Henry is start this week.

Jaylen Warren projects 10.1 points on a 9.4–15.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ATL. Usage: carries / game at 13.2. Net: Jaylen Warren is a bench this week.

What flips it: Sit Jaylen Warren — projects 10.1, an even matchup vs ATL, with a rising role.

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Week 1 hasn’t kicked off — recent form, opportunity and matchup are based on the 2025 season, and update as the season is played.

	HenryStart	WarrenBen
Projection (median)	15.4	10.1
Floor	12.0	9.4
Ceiling	22.4	15.1
Touch share	41%	32%
Opportunity score	12.9	11.5
Matchup grade (recency weighted)	C-	C
Implied team total	26.0	23.0

History

Recents

Start Derrick Henry. Bench Jaylen Warren. Derrick Henry leads at 15.4. Jaylen Warren is the first one out, 5.3 short.

Start Derrick Henry. Bench Jaylen Warren. Derrick Henry leads at 15.4. Jaylen Warren is the first one out, 5.3 short.