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Sit or start?
Week7 · 2026
Scoring

Updated Sat 24 Oct, 11:06 PM ET

Lean start
QBCLE

Deshaun Watson

Cleveland Browns

@ Tennessee TitansSun 1:00 PM ET

Projected
17.7pts
Week rank
QB5
Started
41%

Range this weekFrom posted lines

Floor 14.0Ceiling 23.9

QBCLE @ TENQB517.7 projected (14.0–23.9)PPR

Should I start Deshaun Watson in Week 7?

Start Deshaun Watson in Week 7.

Watson projects 17.7 PPR points to Patrick Mahomes’s 16.1.

Measured against the QB12 start line: Patrick Mahomes, QB13 at 16.1 projected PPR points, the first quarterback below it.

ConfidenceModerateLean · 1.6 pts

Edge

Watson has a lighter pass rush to face (pressure on 18% of throws to 40%).

Why

His lines put him at 0.22 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.

What flips it

Start Patrick Mahomes instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (31% of his games to 0%).

Why Deshaun Watson

Lean Deshaun Watson over Patrick Mahomes.

The case for Mahomes is fewer sacks (3% of his pass plays to 11%) and more big weeks (31% of his games to 0%).

Working for Watson: More rushing TD chances (0.22 vs 0.00 usual), More passing TDs (1.50 vs 1.17 usual), More passing yards (207.0 vs 195.7 usual), Steady scorer (Very steady).

Matchup

Deshaun Watson (CLE) faces TEN, kickoff Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. His team projects 19.5 points. It projects as a close game.

Recent form

Deshaun Watson's last 5 games: PPR points Wk 2 · 19.7, Wk 3 · 20.3, Wk 4 · 12.9, Wk 5 · 12.2, Wk 6 · 9.5 (oldest to newest).

Compare Deshaun Watson with…

The players closest to Deshaun Watson in this week’s PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Deshaun WatsonQB5 · 17.7 proj

Pick 1 to 4 players to compare with Watson.

Closest calls

More close calls for Watson

More QB start/sit callsQuarterbacks this week: the Week 7 QB rankings and all 201 calls

Stats behind the call

Each of Watson’s figures beside the QB12 start line. Blue means he’s ahead of it.

StatWatsonLean start@ TENQB12 lineMahomes · @ SEA
Scoring
ProjectionWatson: 17.7 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 16.1
TD pointsof the projectionWatson: 1.3 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekWatson: 0.22 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 0.16
Projected team pointsWatson: 19.5Mahomes: 19.8
Goal line carriesper gameWatson: 0.2 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameWatson: 1.0 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 0.4
Pass attempts / gameWatson: 29.0Mahomes: 31.6
Range
Last 5 games PPR pointsQB12 line 16.1Avg 14.9Deshaun Watson’s last 5 games in PPR points, oldest to newest: Week 2, 19.7; Week 3, 20.3; Week 4, 12.9; Week 5, 12.2; Week 6, 9.5. Week 7 projection 17.7. The QB12 start line is 16.1.
FloorWatson: 14.0 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 12.2
CeilingWatson: 23.9 (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 22.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWatson: 0%Mahomes: 6%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Watson: 0%Mahomes: 31%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterWatson: 17% (ahead of the line)Mahomes: 19%
SteadinessWatson: Very steady±4.3 pts · 6 games (ahead of the line)Mahomes: Very steady±7.7 pts

Deciding on someone else?

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