Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Start · check inactives

Moore

WR · BUF vs BAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Shoulder - AC Joint

Projected points12.8pts

if he plays · 80% to play

If he sits

Downs

WR · IND @ JAX

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.3ptsUsage estimate

Start · check inactives

Bench

DJ Moore or Josh Downs: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start DJ Moore. If he's inactive, start Josh Downs.

Ahead by: +2.5pts; over Downs if he plays
Confidence: Depends on inactives; DJ Moore may not play (about 80% to play)
Started: 59%; of leagues

Downs's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

If DJ Moore is inactive, start Josh Downs.

Risk

DJ Moore was limited in practice (shoulder - ac joint): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Josh Downs. DJ Moore missed his last 2 games (shoulder - ac joint). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 12:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 12:00 PM ET

MooreStart · check inactivesWR · BUF vs BALProjected12.8pts

Helps him

28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
22.1ceilingHis best weeks reach about 22.1 points.

Hurts him

5.0per gameHe sees only 5.0 targets a game.
5.8floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.8 points.

DownsIf he sitsWR · IND @ JAXUsually 8.2+2.1pts this week

Helps him

+1.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
+1.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

−0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
18.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 18.3 points.
43%dud weeks43% of his games have been dud weeks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection12.810.3

TD pointsof the projection2.4Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.40Our estimate

Projected team points28.818.3

Red zone targetsper game0.80.7

Role

Snap share53%82%

Usage worthpts9.411.4

Target share19%20%

Targets / game5.06.6

Air yards share27%29%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAboveBelow

WOPR0.440.50

RZ target share19%23%

Catch rate60%57%

Separation2.9 yds2.4 yds

YAC over expected+1.5+0.7

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.4Scored 9.1Earned by usage 11.4Scored 8.2

Vacated targets this week0.03.5

Inside 10 target share17%0%

Range

Floor5.86.2

Ceiling22.116.5

Points from TDssteadier when lower17%0%

Big weeks (20+ pts)25%0%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better50%43%

SteadinessVolatile±9.7 pts · 4 gamesVery steady±4.0 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionA-2026, 7 gmA2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.91.5

Defense funnelPassNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed15th (average)30th (soft)

Starting QBAllen (Active)Jones (Active)

Opp defender outRobinson (LB)None listed

Roof / surfaceOpenturfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleOff a byeNormal

Opp pace17th (average)23rd (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.911th (average)4.027th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed67%29th (soft)65%24th (soft)

Form

Last 3 avg5.16.7

Last 5 avg9.17.5

vs season−4.0−1.5 (Cooling)

Yards per route run2.781.39

Receiving aDOT15.210.7

Target share trendLeft 2 games hurtSteady

Games since injury0None recently

Crowd

Started in leagues59%41%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR18WR33

Yards linereceiving55.5Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?