Wicks
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
13.8pts
market
Williams
WR · DET vs CAR
Proj pts
13.6pts
market
Dontayvion Wicks or Jameson Williams: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Dontayvion Wicks over Jameson Williams by 0.2. Dontayvion Wicks leads at 13.8. Jameson Williams is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 35% of managers started Wicks, 56% started Williams.
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share13% target share
- Thin volume3.5 targets/g
Pros
- Every-down role90% of snaps
- High-scoring spot27.0 team total
- Spike upside23.2 ceiling
Cons
- Tough matchupTough · D vs WR
- Boom-or-bust35% bust weeks
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is boom rate: Wicks 8%, Williams 24%.
Latest game on the card: Wicks 5.2, Williams 8.9 (PPR points).
Why Dontayvion Wicks
Start Dontayvion Wicks — projects 13.8, an even matchup vs LA, with a rising role.
Dontayvion Wicks projects 13.8 points on a 3.4–15.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.5. Net: start Dontayvion Wicks this week.
Working against Wicks: Low target share (13% target share), Thin volume (3.5 targets/g).
Where Wicks leads the head-to-head: Projection (13.8 vs 13.6); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs D); Last 3 avg (11.0 vs 7.6); Last 5 avg (8.7 vs 8.4); vs season (+0.3 vs -4.0); Bust rate (25% vs 35%).
Why Jameson Williams
Sit Jameson Williams — projects 13.6, a tough matchup vs CAR, but the role is cooling.
Jameson Williams projects 13.6 points on a 7.7–23.2 range. The matchup grades as tough against CAR. Usage: targets / game at 6.0. Net: bench Jameson Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Every-down role (90% of snaps), High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Spike upside (23.2 ceiling).
Working against Williams: Tough matchup (Tough · D vs WR), Boom-or-bust (35% bust weeks).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Floor (7.7 vs 3.4); Ceiling (23.2 vs 15.2); Target share (18% vs 13%); Implied team total (27.0 vs 19.5); Consistency (33% vs 0%); Boom rate (24% vs 8%); Targets / game (6.0 vs 3.5); Snap share (90% vs 47%); Red zone targets (9 vs 4).
Recent form
Dontayvion Wicks's last 4 games: PPR points 1.7, 15.3, 12.4, 5.2 (oldest to newest).
Jameson Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 5.7, 13.4, 8.5, 5.3, 8.9 (oldest to newest).
Wicks has already beaten Williams's 13.6 projection in 1 of his 4; Williams has beaten Wicks's 13.8 in 0 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Dontayvion Wicks (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
Jameson Williams (DET) faces CAR, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Wicks's edge is 0.2 points (13.8 to 13.6). Williams's ceiling (23.2) clears Wicks's projection, so a big game from Williams flips it. Wicks's floor (3.4) sits under Williams's projection, so a quiet game from Wicks flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Dontayvion Wicks comparisons
- Dontayvion Wicks or Luther Burden III13.8 · 14.0
- Dontayvion Wicks or Stefon Diggs13.8 · 13.5
- Devaughn Vele or Dontayvion Wicks13.2 · 13.8
- Dontayvion Wicks or Terry McLaurin13.8 · 14.4
More Jameson Williams comparisons
- Jameson Williams or Stefon Diggs13.6 · 13.5
- Devaughn Vele or Jameson Williams13.2 · 13.6
- Jameson Williams or Luther Burden III13.6 · 14.0
- DK Metcalf or Jameson Williams12.8 · 13.6
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)