Wicks
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
13.8pts
market
Diggs
WR · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
13.5pts
market
Dontayvion Wicks or Stefon Diggs: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Dontayvion Wicks over Stefon Diggs by 0.3. Dontayvion Wicks leads at 13.8. Stefon Diggs is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 35% of managers started Wicks, 70% started Diggs.
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share13% target share
- Thin volume3.5 targets/g
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs WR
- Spike upside22.0 ceiling
Cons
- Rotational snaps54% of snaps
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Wicks 4, Diggs 13.
Latest game on the card: Wicks 5.2, Diggs 7.3 (PPR points).
Why Dontayvion Wicks
Start Dontayvion Wicks — projects 13.8, an even matchup vs LA, with a rising role.
Dontayvion Wicks projects 13.8 points on a 3.4–15.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.5. Net: start Dontayvion Wicks this week.
Working against Wicks: Low target share (13% target share), Thin volume (3.5 targets/g).
Where Wicks leads the head-to-head: Projection (13.8 vs 13.5); Bust rate (25% vs 29%).
Why Stefon Diggs
Sit Stefon Diggs — projects 13.5, a favorable matchup vs IND, with a rising role.
Stefon Diggs projects 13.5 points on a 6.8–22.0 range. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 6.0. Net: bench Stefon Diggs this week.
Working for Diggs: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs WR), Spike upside (22.0 ceiling).
Working against Diggs: Rotational snaps (54% of snaps).
Where Diggs leads the head-to-head: Floor (6.8 vs 3.4); Ceiling (22.0 vs 15.2); Target share (22% vs 13%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs B); Implied team total (22.5 vs 19.5); Last 3 avg (14.8 vs 11.0); Last 5 avg (14.8 vs 8.7); vs season (+1.7 vs +0.3); Consistency (47% vs 0%); Boom rate (24% vs 8%); Targets / game (6.0 vs 3.5); Snap share (54% vs 47%); Red zone targets (13 vs 4).
Recent form
Dontayvion Wicks's last 4 games: PPR points 1.7, 15.3, 12.4, 5.2 (oldest to newest).
Stefon Diggs's last 5 games: PPR points 22.1, 7.3, 15.5, 21.7, 7.3 (oldest to newest).
Wicks has already beaten Diggs's 13.5 projection in 1 of his 4; Diggs has beaten Wicks's 13.8 in 3 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Dontayvion Wicks (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
Stefon Diggs (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Wicks's edge is 0.3 points (13.8 to 13.5). Diggs's ceiling (22) clears Wicks's projection, so a big game from Diggs flips it. Wicks's floor (3.4) sits under Diggs's projection, so a quiet game from Wicks flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Dontayvion Wicks comparisons
- Dontayvion Wicks or Jameson Williams13.8 · 13.6
- Dontayvion Wicks or Luther Burden III13.8 · 14.0
- Devaughn Vele or Dontayvion Wicks13.2 · 13.8
- Dontayvion Wicks or Terry McLaurin13.8 · 14.4
More Stefon Diggs comparisons
- Jameson Williams or Stefon Diggs13.6 · 13.5
- Devaughn Vele or Stefon Diggs13.2 · 13.5
- Luther Burden III or Stefon Diggs14.0 · 13.5
- DK Metcalf or Stefon Diggs12.8 · 13.5
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)