Downs
WR · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.3ptsUsage estimate
McLaurin
WR · WAS vs PHI
IR · KneeRuled out
Projected points—
Josh Downs or Terry McLaurin: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Josh Downs.
Highlights
DownsStartWR · IND @ JAXUsually 8.2+2.1pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- +1.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- JAXvs WRsEdgeJAX is the 4th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 18.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 18.3 points.
- 43%dud weeks43% of his games have been dud weeks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDowns: 10.3McLaurin: IR
Projected team pointsDowns: 18.3McLaurin: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameDowns: 0.7McLaurin: 0.8 (best)
Role
Snap shareDowns: 82% (best)McLaurin: 60%
Usage worthptsDowns: 11.4 (best)McLaurin: 9.6
Target shareDowns: 20% (best)McLaurin: 18%
Targets / gameDowns: 6.6 (best)McLaurin: 5.4
Air yards shareDowns: 29% (best)McLaurin: 26%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDowns: BelowMcLaurin: In line
WOPRDowns: 0.50 (best)McLaurin: 0.44
RZ target shareDowns: 23% (best)McLaurin: 16%
Catch rateDowns: 57% (best)McLaurin: 56%
SeparationDowns: 2.4 ydsMcLaurin: 2.4 yds
YAC over expectedDowns: +0.7McLaurin: +2.5 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredDowns: Earned by usage 11.4Scored 8.2McLaurin: Earned by usage 9.6Scored 9.2
Vacated targets this weekDowns: 3.5 (best)McLaurin: 0.5
Inside 10 target shareDowns: 0%McLaurin: 18% (best)
Range
FloorDowns: 6.2McLaurin: IR
CeilingDowns: 16.5McLaurin: IR
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDowns: 0%McLaurin: 13%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Downs: 0%McLaurin: 5% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDowns: 43%McLaurin: 18% (best)
SteadinessDowns: Very steady (best)±4.0 pts · 7 gamesMcLaurin: Steady±5.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDowns: A (best)2026, 6 gmMcLaurin: B2026, 7 gm
Game scriptDowns: Expected to trailMcLaurin: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDowns: 1.5McLaurin: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelDowns: NeutralMcLaurin: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDowns: 30th (soft) (best)McLaurin: 24th (soft)
Starting QBDowns: Jones (Active)McLaurin: Daniels (Active)
Roof / surfacegrassDowns: OpenMcLaurin: Open
Rest / scheduleDowns: NormalMcLaurin: Off a bye
Opp paceDowns: 23rd (slow) (best)McLaurin: 27th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDowns: 4.0 (best)27th (soft)McLaurin: 3.319th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedDowns: 65% (best)24th (soft)McLaurin: 59%10th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgDowns: 6.7McLaurin: 11.9 (best)
Last 5 avgDowns: 7.5McLaurin: 9.2 (best)
vs seasonDowns: −1.5 (Cooling)McLaurin: +2.7 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runDowns: 1.39McLaurin: 2.05 (best)
Receiving aDOTDowns: 10.7McLaurin: 12.9
Target share trendDowns: SteadyMcLaurin: Left Week 6 hurt
Games since injuryDowns: None recentlyMcLaurin: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesDowns: 41%McLaurin: IR
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDowns: WR32McLaurin: IR
Deciding on someone else?
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