QBNE vs BUFQB317.9 projected (13.8–23.9)PPR

Should I start Drake Maye in Week 4?

Start Drake Maye in Week 4. Maye projects 17.9 PPR points to Jalen Hurts's 16.6.

Measured against the QB12 start line: Jalen Hurts, QB13 at 16.6 projected PPR points, the first quarterback below it.

Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET

Why Drake Maye

Start Drake Maye — projects 17.9, a tough matchup vs BUF, but the role is cooling.

Drake Maye projects 17.9 points on a 13.8–23.9 range. The matchup grades as tough against BUF. Usage: pass attempts / game at 28.9. Net: Drake Maye is start this week.

Working for Maye: Rushing floor (6.1 rush att/g), Reliable (73% consistency).

Working against Maye: Tough matchup (Tough · D- vs QB), Cooling off (7.2 last 3).

Matchup

Drake Maye (NE) faces BUF, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.8, spread +7.0.

Recent form

Drake Maye's last 5 games: PPR points 32.4, 15.7, 9.8, 8, 3.8 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.

What flips it

Maye's edge is 1.3 points (17.9 to 16.6). Hurts's ceiling (24.1) clears Maye's projection, so a big game from Hurts flips it. Maye's floor (13.8) sits under Hurts's projection, so a quiet game from Maye flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

Compare Drake Maye with…

The players closest to Drake Mayein this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Live stats. Market lines. AI-powered analysis.

Nuvela helps fantasy players and sports fans research athletes, compare matchups, evaluate prop markets, and make faster, more confident decisions across every sport we cover. From drafts to player props to deeper analysis, we surface the context behind the numbers so you can decide for yourself.

Nuvela is owned and operated by Sit or Start AI, Inc. and is intended for users 21 and older. It is an AI-powered research tool and does not accept bets, operate as a sportsbook, or have any affiliation with sportsbooks, daily fantasy operators, or gambling platforms.

All content is for research and entertainment purposes only.

Users should independently verify all stats, lines, and information before making any decisions based on it.

Gambling involves risk and can be addictive.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Available 24/7.

Copyright © 2026 Sit or Start AI, Inc. All rights reserved. Nuvela.ai is a product of Sit or Start AI, Inc.